2018 House Toss Up Races-Story Lines-Predictions-Part 1-Podcast 716

Will republicans maintain control of the US House Of Representatives in 2018’s Mid Term election? Or are those predicting a Democratic Wave right? Find out in 2018 House Toss Up Races-Story Lines-Predictions-Part 1-Podcast 716. For part one click here.

Media Creates Confusion

These days the media is obsessed with predicting the future. Moreover they’re so busy telling the future viewers are left confused about where the close races are and why they are considered close.

West Coast To The Mississippi

In two epic political podcasts, I lay out the battle ground for the most vulnerable house races in 2018. Part 1 covers the west coast to the Mississippi. Part 2 (Podcast 717) covers districts east of the Mississippi to the Atlantic. Political Junkies these two are for you. If you want the same thing on the US Senate Toss Up Races, check out Podcast 712.

Skipping The Story Line

In 2018 House Toss Up Races-Story Lines-Predictions-Part 1-Podcast 716 it is most noteworthy that I don’t buy into a story line. On one side it’s a blue wave. On the other all is well. It is far from clear what the result of this election will be. That doesn’t stop the shills bought and paid for from telling you what’s going to happen before you’ve even had a chance to consider it.

Primaries Play A Role

Election Day is Tuesday November 6th, 2018. Many districts have primaries in May, June and August. The results of these primaries will determine the tactical situation in key districts. A sober look at these races goes a long way to clarifying the situation for listeners and viewers.

An Ocean Of Time

Moreover, there’s an ocean of time between May 2018 and Election Day. Will local or national and international events have the most impact in the tight races? How many seats are republicans defending? What about local personalities? Most of the time, all the information isn’t in one place where it can serve as a baseline for future discussions.

No One Can Consistently Predict Elections

Bottom line? No one can predict elections. We learned that in 2016. What’s more, House elections are even more difficult to predict. 435 members up for election. The Democrats have 193 seats, the republicans 237. Both parties 200 or so seats solidly democrat or republican. That leaves about 30 races which can be considered toss ups. This is where we focus.

Devil’s In The Details

As the old saying goes, the Devil’s In The Details. Did Trump beat Clinton in your district? How did your congressman do? What are the local issues? If it’s an open seat is your district Republican, Democrat or somewhere in between? From California’s 10th to New Hampshire’s 1st, From Oregon to Georgia.

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2018 House Toss Up Races-Story Lines-Predictions-Part 1-Podcast 716

 

 

 

Oprah Winfrey News-Golden Globes Speech-Presidential Run Talk-Podcast 692

Twenty million people watched the recent telecast of the 2017 Golden Globes Awards. Millions more searched for and watched clips of Oprah Winfrey’s now famous speech at the Globes. Will Oprah will run for president in 2020? In Oprah Winfrey News-Golden Globes Speech-Presidential Run Talk-Podcast 692.

TV Star Against TV Star

These days all the talk is about TV star turned president Donald Trump saying provocative things. Until the Golden Globes. Seems like the only kind of person who might have a chance to give him a run for his money would be another TV Star.

Oprah Hits Every Chord and Plays Them At A Higher Octave Than Trump’s Twitter Feed

Enter businesswomen and TV star Oprah Winfrey, accepting the lifetime achievement award at the 2017 Golden Globes. Winfrey’s speech hit every chord in American politics these days plus a few we haven’t heard. Much as the speech was political, it was positive too.

They’re Watching In The District Of Columbia

Consequently it’s no surprise the one of the places in the country ranking high for searches about Oprah Winfrey’s speech at the Golden Globes was the District of Columbia. Especially relevant now, is the question of what happens if she decides to run for president? In Oprah Winfrey News-Golden Globes Speech-Presidential Run Talk-Podcast 692.

Freedom Of Choice

We have the freedom of choice. Therefore a podcast about the political effects of an Oprah Winfrey run ought to take up the question from an objective point of view.

By State Searches Tell An Interesting Story

Most noteworthy are the latest search trends from Google by state. Oprah searches index high in battleground states won by the president in 2016, especially in the deep south. Some of those victories in 2016 for the president were by 1 and 2 percent margins.

Giving The President And Republicans The Fight Of Their Lives

In conclusion Oprah has shown she can play the populist chords at a higher octave than the president. Furthermore she has shown she can move crowds with emotion just as effectively as President Trump. Finally if she can withstand the pressures of a campaign to win the democratic nomination for president, she could give the president and republicans the fight of their lives.

(Editor’s Note: I said in this podcast Winfrey is ‘from Georgia’. In fact she was born in Mississippi, raised in Milwaukee Wisconsin, later being sent to live in Tennessee. She started her career at a radio station in Tennessee. The point here was to illustrate her connection with the south. I just got the state wrong. I hate that!)

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Oprah Winfrey News-Golden Globes Speech-Presidential Run Talk-Podcast 692