Conventional Wisdom-Election 2018 Follies-Podcast 764

These days it always pays to wait for an outcome before you predict the future. With the confirmation of Brett Cavanaugh to the US Supreme Court we have an outcome. Now comes an avalanche of predictions about the court fight’s impact on the election. Find out why I say ignore the prognosticators in Conventional Wisdom-Election 2018 Follies-Podcast 764.

Bottom line, elections belong to the people who vote. Not tea leaves

Most noteworthy in 2018 are several US Senate Elections. Moreover scores of House elections are very close.

Blue Wave. Wait! Red Wave! No Wait! Blue Wave

What’s the media telling the American people? It’s a ‘blue’ wave fueled by young adults and women angry at the treatment of Christine Ford, nemesis of the former court nominee. Don’t like that story line? Guess what? Republican voters are seething and will go out and vote again democrats in droves. So say the story tellers.

Not Enough Data

In contrast to the nonsense being spewed by now famous political ‘scientists’ no one knows who’s actually going to vote. Polls are scanty and some shoddily conducted. Another factor is the fact that determining who will vote and why is truly an art. In other words, no one knows. It’s about time someone explains it’s hard to say what will happen on November 6th, without picking sides.

Quick! Who’s Your Congressman?

Truth is midterm voter turn out is lower than presidential years. Many people don’t even know who their congressman is. National issues don’t always drive elections. Almost all the House districts that aren’t gerrymandered are close. And somehow one national story is going to drive the results of all these elections? Are they toss ups that can go either way? Are these close races evidence of a blue wave? Find out in Conventional Wisdom-Election 2018 Follies-Podcast 764.

Coverage Of Politics In This Country is Terrible

In conclusion I am driven to do another political podcast I did not want to do. Why? Because most of what passes for political coverage in this country is terrible. Too many predictions. Lots of bias. Mostly telling both sides what they want to hear. Finally someone who tells it like it is and waits for election day to judge the outcome.

Sponsored by Water Butler Water Purification Systems and Johantgen Jewelers

Conventional Wisdom-Election 2018 Follies-Podcast 764

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Who’s Running This Country Anyway?-Bob Davis Podcast 762

In Who’s Running This Country Anyway?-Bob Davis Podcast 762, I wonder if republicans and democrats really stand for different ideas about the future.

The Deep State

It’s especially relevant that our government is so complex we have to worry about who is ‘running the country’.

Who Runs The Country?

Fact is, our elected representatives just operate the government. We run the country. Almost four hundred million Americans. Working. Raising families. Starting businesses. Going about our lives.

Failed Leadership From Both Parties

Most noteworthy? The people we send to Washington DC don’t seem to be able to actually run our government.

Same Coin Different Day

Because republicans and democrats prove every day they represent two different sides of the same coin. Find out why I say that, in Who’s Running This Country Anyway?-Bob Davis Podcast 762.

Borrow, Spend and Tax

As a result, one party borrows trillions for ‘public works’ and ‘programs’. The other borrows trillions for ‘tax cuts’ and spending on defense.

Your Uncle Sam Is A Deadbeat

Above all every year the government gets bigger and further in debt.

Distract High School Distract Rape Distract Drinking

Meanwhile the millionaires in Washington have us fighting about what happened to two high school kids 36 years ago.

Real Power? Who Cares

Due to this no one can be bothered to talk about the nominee’s views on executive power, enhanced interrogation or surveillance.

Dangerous Situation

The immense power of government is dangerous to all of us. Doesn’t matter whether you fly the red or blue flag. No one is advocating exclusively for liberty and freedom from these enormous government agencies. Certainly not republicans or democrats.

Limiting The Power Of The State and Liberty

In conclusion the whole history of liberal democracy has been to limit and control state power. We seem to have forgotten that growth in government power causes its inefficiency and creates the conditions that breed tyranny. Learn more in Who’s Running This Country Anyway?-Bob Davis Podcast 762.

Sponsored by Reliafund and Ryan Plumbing and Heating Of Saint Paul

Who’s Running This Country Anyway?-Bob Davis Podcast 762

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2018 Toss Up Elections-Final Thoughts-Podcast 758

The 2018 Midterm election season has been most noteworthy for its twists and turns. Now as we head into the final month of the campaigns, find out what to look for on election day in 2018 Toss Up Elections-Final Thoughts-Podcast 758.

Media Cherry Picks Stats

Then there’s the media’s habit of cherry picking statistics. They call it ‘political coverage’. Statistics prove the story line. Damn lies convince us none of this has ever happened before.

Predictions of Doom

The president’s approval rating has never been worse. Voters have never been more fired up. If things continue the way they are now, terrible outcomes are inevitable. The president’s political party always loses seats in a midterm. Are these predictions of doom true? Learn more in 2018 Toss Up Elections-Final Thoughts-Podcast 758.

Polls Don’t Lie. The Media Lies

Finally, in my experience making predictions about statewide and house elections based on national polls and baselines is problematic although some research suggests they may be reliable predictors in midterm elections. There just isn’t enough information to say one way or another what will happen. That’s why we wait and see what the vote actually turns out to be.

Labels and Beliefs

Meanwhile these days we’re awash in labels and broadly held beliefs in pure nonsense. So and so is a “transformational figure”. A “disaster” has changed voting in a district or state forever.

Be The Change

I believe it’s time to change how we cover politics and I am putting my podcasts where my mouth is in this series on the midterm election toss ups. A close look at the data. A fair shake for the candidates. Letting the listeners and subscribers decide for themselves. Putting all the data in the podcasts so you can compare on election night. That’s what it’s all about for The Bob Davis Podcasts for Election 2018 coverage.

In conclusion, through all of it, I have to say I have no idea what will happen on November 6th, 2018, and neither does anyone else.