Summers-End-Turning-Point-2022-Bob Davis Podcast 1068

Summers End Turning Point 2022

Firstly summers end is always a turning point. You might remember this one for a long time. Details in Summers-End-Turning-Point-2022-Bob Davis Podcast 1068.

Not Political

Secondly these are not political podcasts.

Economy

Certainly they have to do with the US and world economies.

However one of the chief mistakes of many analysts is their penchant for attaching economic problems to current political leaders.

Inflation Years In The Making

Most importantly the inflation nomads and people back home are dealing with was years in the making.

Major Slow Down Ahead?

In addition one of the biggest takeaways from this podcast is the increasing possibility for a major slow down and a shift from inflation to deflation.

Recession

For example Germany, China and technically the United States are already in recession.

Feeling The Pinch

And smaller economies and developing economies are also feeling the pinch.

The Cause? Not What You Think

While much has been made of the war in Ukraine or supply issues these are not the root cause of the inflation in the United States.

Gas and Food For Nomads

Above all we nomads feel the pain when it comes to gas and food prices.

Everything For everyone Else

And for the people in the and of bricks and sticks it’s just about everything else.

In Summers-End-Turning-Point-2022-Bob Davis Podcast 1068 I argue that the inflation we’re dealing with has been caused by years of near zero interest rates and something called quantitative easing.

Don’t Bet On A Pivot

In the same vein analysts keep saying the US Federal Reserve will ‘pivot’ soon.

95 Billion Every Month Bought For Years

To clarify Quantitative Easing has taken the form of the central bank buying 95 billion dollars worth of bonds EVERY MONTH.

Now Selling 95 Billion Every Month

More importantly Quantitative Tightening is the central bank selling off 95 billion dollars worth of bonds EVERY MONTH.

Moreover those bonds are ramping up to a full 95 billion EVERY MONTH in September.

That’s a lot of liquidity sucked out of the banking system.

Therefore listeners can see why I say Summers End is a Turning Point.

Meanwhile I emphasize EVERY MONTH here because I did not in Summers-End-Turning-Point-2022-Bob Davis Podcast 1068.

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Summers-End-Turning-Point-2022-Bob Davis Podcast 1068

Podcast 238

Economic Doom. Inflation, Deflation, Disinflation. Is the economy booming, or crashing? In the fantasy world created by the media, there are only winners or losers. The reality is somewhere in between. What is inflation, deflation and disinflation? Do we have inflation in the United States, or not? Despite the Federal Reserve pumping trillions into the banking system in America, we’ve seen only slow growth at best; Not enough growth to bring out self-mothballed workers from the ranks of those who have given up looking for work. Yet, we are told the US is reaching ‘full employment’, and that the economy is ‘roaring’ back. With only 76 percent of our industrial capacity utilized, a significant amount of that capacity in the oil, and mining sectors, the concern is disinflation, and perhaps deflation. In the Euro Zone, the ECB is worried about Deflation. In China they’re worried about a slow down. In Japan, huge inflows of cash from the central bank and government has produced mixed results. Yet, with a new set of economic numbers this month, economists, reporters and political cheerleaders are saying the US economy is ‘set to grow’ and we’re back to the Rosy Scenario. When things don’t pan out as they predict, it will be ‘unexpected’ or ‘surprising’. Reporting like this is devoid of context, and grossly misinforms the public, leaving them confused and angry when they can’t get a higher paying, better job. For instance, the much vaunted consumer is constantly told he accounts for 70 percent of the US Economy. Not true. We are being told new housing construction is up. In fact its apartment houses. We’re told the housing market is back, but a closer look reveals many cash buyers who are buying homes to rent out. A recent drop in housing sales is attributed to cash buyers pulling out of the market because homes are ‘too expensive for cash buyers’. Inflation and Deflation have both been associated with stagnant growth in various countries, sometimes disaster. We’re told ‘cheaper gas’ gives consumers the where-with-all to spend, and yet gasoline has only been somewhat less expensive for about a month. (Editors Note: Yeah gas is cheaper, but I’m not taking the money I’ve ‘saved’ on a shopping spree.) With Europe and China and other parts of the world in a seeming synchronized slow down, oil and commodities dropping, the markets moving and up and down wildly, suddenly some are alarmed and concerned. Is it possible that years of government borrowing and spending, and central bank intervention in markets have added so much malinvestment, the chickens are finally coming home to roost? Why do governments and big debtors love in inflation, and fear deflation? The takeaway is, it’s time to start thinking about what we expect these sclerotic and expensive governments to actually do, and start demanding they operate with as little debt as possible, and that our money be based on something stable like, uh…Gold or Silver. The reason? When governments can print their way out of debt, citizens actually pay the cost in higher taxes and inflation. Sponsored by Depotstar.