Shortage-Lies-Damn-Lies-Bob Davis Podcast 1022

Shortage Lies and Damn Lies

Firstly I don’t know whether the shortage predictions will come true at some future date. But what I am hearing on the news doesn’t jibe with what I am seeing all across America. Learn why I say this in Shortage-Lies-Damn-Lies-Bob Davis Podcast 1022.

Might Be Shortages

Secondly I am not saying there aren’t shortages in some places.

Maybe Some Can’t Find What They Want

Even more not saying some people can’t find the things they want.

Above all that all might be true.

My Survey Of Stores In The Southwest

However recently I completed an organized informal survey of several Walmarts in the American Southwest.

A Method To The Madness

Specifically my conclusions are that there are patterns to the empty shelve syndrome we keep seeing on social media.

Inflation?

In addition there are probably two other causes of shortages where they are seen. Both causes seem to make the case for disinflation.

Doom Triggers

Most importantly I think some prognosticators and politicians get a benefit from predicting doom.

No Toys For Christmas!

For example we keep hearing there won’t be any toys for Christmas.

No Candy For Halloween!

Or that Halloween Candy will not be available.

Truth

Firstly the truth is I have been in several stores in Nevada and California in the last two days and there is plenty of Halloween stuff.

Santa’s Loaded Down

In addition the toy and Christmas aisles were jam packed with goods and these same stores.

Trucker Shortage?

But what about the trucker shortage Bob Davis?

Containers Sitting In The Ocean?

Above all what about all those containers sitting in the ocean at the LA Port?

Are We Sure Retailers Want The Containers?

To clarify I personally don’t think a lot of retailers want those containers to be processed and the goods to end up on the shelves. I’ll tell you why in Shortage-Lies-Damn-Lies-Bob Davis Podcast 1022.

Trucking Companies Driver Problem Goes Back Ten Years

And the trucking companies have been complaining about trucker shortages since the early two thousands.

What’s different now?

Mom’s Buying All The Sugar and Flour

Meanwhile what I am seeing fly off the shelves at are staples.

Flour. Sugar. Rice. Syrup.

But Not Honey Nut Cheerios

They’re not even buying Honey Nut Cheerios.

Or Whiskey.

Therefore something else is going on.

Finally these days I don’t like to do controversial subjects. It just ends up being an argument anyway.

But…

I don’t have some deep need to be relevant.

To sum up I’m doing this because all this talk of shortage is not matching what I am seeing in my travels across this country.

It’s All Good

In short from California to Maine and back again I have not been able to find something I need.

Plenty Of Grass Fed Beef

Even more while I have seen the bottom shelves where the sale stuff is empty, I’ve also seen stores packed with consumer goods of all kinds.

In conclusion with the truck stops packed and stores full I am starting to wonder if someone is lying.

Shockingly I always thought you could trust YouTube prep guys and politicians.

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Shortage-Lies-Damn-Lies-Bob Davis Podcast 1022

(Editor’s Note: My definition of disinflation is not very good on this podcast. For a great definition click on the word ‘disinflation’ above.)

Two-Worlds-In-Snowmass-Bob Davis Podcast 1015

Two Worlds In Snowmass

Above all in Two Worlds In Snowmass you’ll get to spend some time with me in my weekend of solitude. Even more we’ll get to talk about the fear and uncertainty gripping American right now in Two-Worlds-In-Snowmass-Bob Davis Podcast 1015.

Contemplating a Tale Of Two Cities

Most importantly when I am on the road I do not feel the anxiety.

Feeling The Vibe

But when I stop to visit stationary friends I feel it.

Sharing Feelings Again

Even more I wouldn’t be worth my salt if I did not share how I feel in these podcasts.

Hanging Out By Myself

Consequently on a night we were supposed to spend hanging out and talking I am sitting on a ridge listening to the Coyotes talk.

Grateful

Firstly I am grateful for the opportunity to experience a truly beautiful place and a beautiful setting.

Wondering Why

Secondly when an opportunity like this drops in your lap you find yourself wondering why.

Because Why

And maybe it’s just because, right?

Perfect Time Alone

On the other and I can’t help but feel the powers that be decided it was time for me to have some perfect time alone.

No distractions.

Now What?

Meanwhile what to talk about?

Certainly I could do a travelogue podcast.

How I got here.

Where I’m going next.

Locked In Fear And Uncertainty, and Me

However there’s something about being forced to sequester because an entire village is locked in fear and uncertainty.

Moreover once I got in touch with my feelings there was concern for my friends.

Some Kind Of Climax Is Coming

And a nagging feeling we’ve all started up the hill toward some kind of climax, with all this crazy stuff going on in the world.

No Politics or Judgements

Finally my listeners and subscribers know I don’t bother with politics anymore.

Too triggering and divisive.

Pie Charts and Preferences Be Damned

In addition I don’t understand why we have to be a nation of pie charts with forty percent thinking one thing and forty some percent thinking something else.

Back Roads Mean Peace and Solitude

In short, on the back roads there isn’t any of that. Just peace. And solitude.

Rural America I see You

Likewise I travel through communities and places no one ever sees, reports on or cares about.

Those places don’t feel like Snowmass right now.

Up Here With Coyotes and A Fire

And as a result I am up here with the coyotes howling and my thoughts.

Perfect time for a podcast.

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Two-Worlds-In-Snowmass-Bob Davis Podcast 1015

 

Mistakes-Final Polls-Bob Davis Podcast 961

Dumb Mistakes

Most important thing to do to avoid dumb mistakes?  Be present. Learn more in Mistakes-Final Polls-Bob Davis Podcast 961.

Final Poll Rundown

Secondly I had to stop and run down the final polls before this fiasco ends. Or not.

Nomad Mindset Engaged

Certainly I have a lot going on in my mind. Even more when traveling. Double it if you’re a nomad.

Easy To Make Dumb Mistakes

As a result there is always a point where it’s easy for me to make a dumb mistake.

Early In The Trip

Above all these mistakes happen early in the trip or when I am preoccupied.

The Green Pump

Firstly this particular mistake has to do with the green pump for diesel as opposed to gasoline. I’ll tell you more in Mistakes-Final Polls-Bob Davis Podcast 961.

Final State By State Polls

In addition after a major delay to address my mistake I have to do a final poll run down before the election on November 3rd.

Getting Extra In This Podcast

Consequently this podcast is a little extra. Longer. Some observations about life on the road and mistakes and a run down of the polls.

Pollsters and the Reporters Who Love Them

In the same vein you know how I feel about polling and media coverage this year. If you don’t click here.

Dangerous Predictions

Certainly people are taking liberties and making predictions polling should not be used for.

It’s All Been Worked Out

As a result many people are under the impression this has all been worked out.

Nothing Has Been Worked Out

In fact nothing has been worked out.

Pick A Direction

Finally you’ll learn in Dumb-Mistakes-Final Polls-Bob Davis Podcast 961 that Election 2020 can really go any number of directions.

Up Late

To sum up if you do watch election coverage on November 3rd you might be up late.

My Election Coverage Ends Where It Started

In conclusion it all started for me in 2020 in Iowa covering the caucus campaigns.

Fairfield Iowa

Therefore I will end my coverage of this insane election in Fairfield Iowa.

More in the next podcast

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Mistakes-Final Polls-Bob Davis Podcast 961