2018 Toss Up Elections-Final Thoughts-Podcast 758

The 2018 Midterm election season has been most noteworthy for its twists and turns. Now as we head into the final month of the campaigns, find out what to look for on election day in 2018 Toss Up Elections-Final Thoughts-Podcast 758.

Media Cherry Picks Stats

Then there’s the media’s habit of cherry picking statistics. They call it ‘political coverage’. Statistics prove the story line. Damn lies convince us none of this has ever happened before.

Predictions of Doom

The president’s approval rating has never been worse. Voters have never been more fired up. If things continue the way they are now, terrible outcomes are inevitable. The president’s political party always loses seats in a midterm. Are these predictions of doom true? Learn more in 2018 Toss Up Elections-Final Thoughts-Podcast 758.

Polls Don’t Lie. The Media Lies

Finally, in my experience making predictions about statewide and house elections based on national polls and baselines is problematic although some research suggests they may be reliable predictors in midterm elections. There just isn’t enough information to say one way or another what will happen. That’s why we wait and see what the vote actually turns out to be.

Labels and Beliefs

Meanwhile these days we’re awash in labels and broadly held beliefs in pure nonsense. So and so is a “transformational figure”. A “disaster” has changed voting in a district or state forever.

Be The Change

I believe it’s time to change how we cover politics and I am putting my podcasts where my mouth is in this series on the midterm election toss ups. A close look at the data. A fair shake for the candidates. Letting the listeners and subscribers decide for themselves. Putting all the data in the podcasts so you can compare on election night. That’s what it’s all about for The Bob Davis Podcasts for Election 2018 coverage.

In conclusion, through all of it, I have to say I have no idea what will happen on November 6th, 2018, and neither does anyone else.

That’s up to you.

Sponsored by Johantgen Jewelers and Reliafund Payment Processing

2018 Toss Up Elections-Final Thoughts-Podcast 758

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Toss Up House Elections 2018 Part 2-Bob Davis Podcast 754

Second in a series of podcasts detailing the so called toss up races in the 2018 midterm elections. Most noteworthy here are my observations about whether many of these elections are actually toss ups. Find out why I say this in Toss Up House Elections 2018 Part 2-Bob Davis Podcast 754.

Trump’s Future Hangs In The Balance

From Iowa, to Illinois. Kansas to Kentucky in this podcast you’ll find out why the media says the future of Donald Trump’s administration hangs in the balance. You’ll also find out whether the predicted ‘blue wave’ could be reality. Or not.

Details Without Partisanship

As I have said many times, one of the things our media loves to do these days is predict the future, The reason I am producing this series of podcasts is to give you the existing conditions in each of these districts without partisan comment or predictions. This series includes the Senate toss ups, and the Governor’s toss ups and part one of the house toss ups.

How Close Are They?

How close is the race in Illinois’ northwestern suburbs that make up the 6th district? What about all the predictions about 12th district which stretches from the working class Saint Louis suburbs across the river, all the way to the southern tip of the Land of Lincoln? Especially relevant here are predictions about Kentucky’s 6th district, which the president won by 17 points. When a candidate for president wins a state by over twenty points, is there a potential for backlash? Learn more in Toss Up House Elections 2018 Part 2-Bob Davis Podcast 754.

Telling The Voter What’s Going To Happen Before The Vote

These days it doesn’t matter whether you’re on network television or You Tube. If you have a national talk radio show or are a podcaster. Everyone wants to tell the voter what’s going to happen before it happens. If you listen to this series of my podcasts you’ll know the situation in these districts. You’ll know what races to watch on election night.

What IS The Situation?

Once the voters decides for themselves who their voting for on election night, they can sit back and watch the results knowing what races to look for. Why? Because someone looked at all the key races and without partisanship or rancor laid out what the situation is.

Fortune Tellers

Finally, many of these districts have no polling unless its done by partisan groups or political parties. Predictions are being made based on the 2016 election or because one party or another said they were ‘targeting’ that race. In conclusion our politics are too fluid for political fortune tellers to be accurate.

Sponsored by John D Scott Personal Injury Lawyer and Ryan Plumbing and Heating of Saint Paul

Toss Up House Elections 2018 Part 2-Bob Davis Podcast 754

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Fire Fury-Sloppy Steve Bannon-Trump-25th Amendment-Delusions-Melt Up-Podcast 691

When you hear the word delusion they’re talking about the stock market. Popular delusions apply to politics and society too. Are we living through a popular delusion? I talk about this issue in Fire Fury-Sloppy Steve Bannon-Trump-25th Amendment-Delusions-Melt Up-Podcast 691.

Popular Delusions In History

These days we think of the stock market crash of 1929 and the financial crisis of 2008 as examples of popular delusions. We’ll discuss these in Fire Fury-Sloppy Steve Bannon-Trump-25th Amendment-Delusions-Melt Up-Podcast 691.

History is filled with examples of collective insanity. The Tulip Mania, Mississippi Scheme, and South Sea Bubble were financial and social panics. Alchemists, Mesmerizers, Crusades, and the Witch Craze became powerful social and political delusions.

Support AND Criticism Serve The Delusion

Popular opinion serves the delusion. It’s especially relevant that Trumpkins won’t allow criticism of their man while those on the left won’t allow you to defend him. Furthermore, we believe unproven claims. In Fire Fury-Sloppy Steve Bannon-Trump-25th Amendment-Delusions-Melt Up-Podcast 691.

Welcome To The Melt Up

Why? Market analysts say the bull market has entered the ‘melt up’ phase. Melt Up is the final phase before the crash when everyone gets sucked in. Most noteworthy the effects of the Melt-Up aren’t just with stock traders and investors. Most of all, this phase of the bull market powerfully effects how we think about society and politics even if we don’t have money in the markets.

Thought Leaders Serve The Delusion

In addition, thought leaders serve the delusion. As a result I wonder whether they are cynics or just deluded themselves. Therefore I wonder, is it true Trump has fixed the economy? The economy is booming? Trump is a political genius? A transformational political figure?

Conspiracy Theories Distract

In addition, the conspiracy theories are my favorites. The administration colluded with the Russians! ‘Conservatives’ have finally ‘won’ the age old conservative-liberal battle. Donald J. Trump is an idiot and will be impeached or removed through the 25th amendment! Hillary Clinton is a reptile alien (Wait! That’s true!). I’ll give you the answers in Fire Fury-Sloppy Steve Bannon-Trump-25th Amendment-Delusions-Melt Up-Podcast 691.

Chaos Is The Order of The Day

Truth is, the new tell-all book about the White House by writer Michael Wolfe is just the latest in a string of chaotic developments. Meanwhile the US Dollar is worth of fraction of what it was in the 1960’s while debt has exploded. Did you know that asset classes account for most of the growth in compensation over the last few years? The middle class has survived on lower pay and transfer payments.

Sit On A Couch, Write a Book

We’re reading stories about former officials written by a reporter who’s research appears to have been he sat on a couch in a white house hallway during the transition. We’re arguing about whether the president is acting like an eight year old. Meanwhile challenges to the economy and America’s place in the world, peace and war are on the horizon.

It Will Get Worse Before It Gets Better

These are the kinds of issues that serve the delusion. History is full of people who have fallen victim to delusion and mania. In conclusion, our only defense is to use reason and prepare for that unpleasant moment when the scales fall from everyone’s eyes.

Sponsored by Reliafund and Ryan Plumbing of Saint Paul

Fire Fury-Sloppy Steve Bannon-Trump-25th Amendment-Delusions-Melt Up-Podcast 691

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