Offgrid-In-Trump-Country-Bob-Davis-Podcast-964

Offgrid-In-Trump-Country-Bob-Davis-Podcast-964

Offgrid In Trump Country

Firstly wouldn’t it be cool to live offgrid in a home that actually pays you? I am in Kentucky and my guest in Offgrid-In-Trump-Country-Bob-Davis-Podcast-964 builds these homes.

Rural Kentucky

Secondly rural Kentucky like most of rural America, is Trump country.

Stolen Election

Out here they think the democrats stole the election from President Trump.

Lots of Stories

Most importantly there are a lot of stories about ballots all over the country.

Jay Hamilton

But Jay Hamilton is unique.

Curious and Active Mine

Certainly Jay’s uniqueness is driven by his curious and active mind.

Lots of Fun

This is what makes spending time with him so much damn fun!

Benford’s Law

However when he applies his intellect to Benford’s Law and precinct level election data, sparks fly.

Election Fraud?

Above all many wonder about election fraud.

Nomad Adventures

The great thing about being a nomad is the opportunity to meet and talk with people like Jay Hamilton. You get to join me in this effort in Offgrid-In-Trump-Country-Bob-Davis-Podcast-964.

Big City Friends Wonder

Moreover my big city friends keep asking me what Trump supporters think.

Meet Jay

Therefore I give you Jay. I do not pass judgement on his theories. I’ll leave that to you.

We’re All Human Beings

In the same vein I have learned we are all human beings.

Some Very Nice People

When I was covering the democrat caucuses in Iowa, my Trump friends wanted to know was up with “those people”.

I noted the fact that many of the democrats I’d met were very nice people.

Check This Analysis

Finally I think everyone should check out Jay’s analysis of what could have happened in the 2020 election.

Getting Offgrid?

And if you are looking to get off grid Jay is your guy.

Sponsored by Your Strategic Specialists at Virtus Law

Offgrid-In-Trump-Country-Bob-Davis-Podcast-964

 

 

 

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Podcast 541

Podcast 541. Electoral College Yoga. Get ready to twist your brain into pretzel like shapes as I talk about the electoral college, polls, and what the benchmarks for Election 2016 are so far. I’ll do another benchmark in about a month and one just before the election in late October, or early November. There are a lot of caveats on polling data. While most media people and their viewers seem to want to talk about national presidential preference polls, the proof of the pudding is in the state by state polls. The United States does not elect its presidents with a national vote. In fact, a presidential election is fifty state elections. Voters are selecting a slate of electors, chosen and voting generally according to state law and state party rules. So when you hear one candidate is ‘ahead’ over another in a national poll it really doesn’t mean anything. In 2008 and again in 2012 Republicans in particular were so hopeful based on national preference polls that if you said McCain or Mitt Romney wasn’t going to win, you were ‘raining on the parade’. But, if you looked closely at state polls in those election cycles, the outcome was not a surprise. State polls have their own problems; Smaller sample size, different polling methodologies, and in some states they are no polls until just before the election. While its not advisable to compare different polls of different sources and methodologies, we do it all the time. We’re looking for trends primarily. Currently while Donald J. Trump leads Hillary Clinton in a national presidential preference poll, the state polls tell a completely different story. It’s not a good story for republicans. The case isn’t closed. Trump still has time, but time is fleeting. I don’t support any candidate. I’m not working for any candidate. I’m not going to tell you how to vote. I’m also not going to spin the polling data to make you think something can happen, or is going to happen. If you want the straight talk on what’s going on, the Bob Davis Podcasts is the place to check back for these benchmark state-by-state analyses as we progress to Election Day 2016. Sponsored by Karow Contracting and Ryan Plumbing and Heating of Saint Paul.

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Podcast 297

Tea Party as Third Party? Word is some people in the Tea Party think it should become a Third Political Party. What’s involved in creating a so called Third Party, how successful have they been, how successful might an actual ‘Tea Party’ be? Some tea party groups have been criticized lately for making a lot of noise, but not controlling much money, or votes; Things that matter to politicians. It has been suggested what is needed is political organization at the grass roots: Podcast 287. Some people think that means starting a so called Third Party, or constituting the Tea Party as a Third Political Party. Judging from history, if Tea Party groups aren’t able to organize their neighborhoods and precincts, what’s necessary to build a viable third political party, is beyond them. There are many so called ‘third parties’. The largest among them is the Libertarian Party which is present in about 45 states and the District of Columbia, the Green Party is present in 37 states and the District, and the Constitution Party is present in 37 states. There are many other so called ‘Third Parties’. So far, they have not been able to elect representatives or senators, although there has been some success here and there in local races. Most recently in US History, Ross Perot created the Reform Party to support his independent presidential candidacy in 1992 and 1996, garnering something like 18 percent of the vote in 1992, and no electoral votes. In essence, third parties don’t have a very good track record. So, is this the right way to organize votes and have influence in Saint Paul or Washington. It might be fair to suggest that this is yet another effort at denying what needs to be done in order to gain so called ‘street cred’ with Saint Paul and Washington Politicians; Generate a lot of money and votes and scare the daylights out of them. Making a lot of noise, so far, hasn’t seemed to accomplish this. (Editor’s Note: I spoke with a couple of Tea Party leaders this week, and they don’t seem too thrilled with this idea.) Back to work! (Join Bob Davis at the SD61 Chili Dinner January 25th to talk this out, and eat chili.) Sponsored by Ryan Plumbing and Heating of Saint Paul. 

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