Summers-End-Turning-Point-2022-Bob Davis Podcast 1068

Summers End Turning Point 2022

Firstly summers end is always a turning point. You might remember this one for a long time. Details in Summers-End-Turning-Point-2022-Bob Davis Podcast 1068.

Not Political

Secondly these are not political podcasts.

Economy

Certainly they have to do with the US and world economies.

However one of the chief mistakes of many analysts is their penchant for attaching economic problems to current political leaders.

Inflation Years In The Making

Most importantly the inflation nomads and people back home are dealing with was years in the making.

Major Slow Down Ahead?

In addition one of the biggest takeaways from this podcast is the increasing possibility for a major slow down and a shift from inflation to deflation.

Recession

For example Germany, China and technically the United States are already in recession.

Feeling The Pinch

And smaller economies and developing economies are also feeling the pinch.

The Cause? Not What You Think

While much has been made of the war in Ukraine or supply issues these are not the root cause of the inflation in the United States.

Gas and Food For Nomads

Above all we nomads feel the pain when it comes to gas and food prices.

Everything For everyone Else

And for the people in the and of bricks and sticks it’s just about everything else.

In Summers-End-Turning-Point-2022-Bob Davis Podcast 1068 I argue that the inflation we’re dealing with has been caused by years of near zero interest rates and something called quantitative easing.

Don’t Bet On A Pivot

In the same vein analysts keep saying the US Federal Reserve will ‘pivot’ soon.

95 Billion Every Month Bought For Years

To clarify Quantitative Easing has taken the form of the central bank buying 95 billion dollars worth of bonds EVERY MONTH.

Now Selling 95 Billion Every Month

More importantly Quantitative Tightening is the central bank selling off 95 billion dollars worth of bonds EVERY MONTH.

Moreover those bonds are ramping up to a full 95 billion EVERY MONTH in September.

That’s a lot of liquidity sucked out of the banking system.

Therefore listeners can see why I say Summers End is a Turning Point.

Meanwhile I emphasize EVERY MONTH here because I did not in Summers-End-Turning-Point-2022-Bob Davis Podcast 1068.

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Summers-End-Turning-Point-2022-Bob Davis Podcast 1068

The-Real-Matrix-Bob Davis Podcast 1063

The Real Matrix

Firstly The Real Matrix exceeds the wildest dreams of movie makers. Details in The-Real-Matrix-Bob Davis Podcast 1063.

Provo

Secondly what better place to talk about The Real Matrix than a Walmart Super Center in Provo Utah?

Walmart As A Reference Point

Above all this kind of place is kind of a reference point for me.

Certainly there are Walmart’s all over the United States.

I’ve been to a lot of them.

Walmart All Night

In addition you can still hang out in some Walmart parking lots all night.

Convenience For Nomads

And Nomads love the convenience in transit.

Maintenance

Most importantly I am in Utah to get some maintenance for Mobile Podcast Command.

All Terrain Tires

That is to say if you listened to my adventure in Dinosaur National Monument you know I need All Terrain Tires and maintenance.

Fragile Economic System

But as I walk through the Walmart here in Provo to do this podcast I am reminded how fragile our economic system is right now.

Enormous Influence

As a result I think it’s time to reinforce the fact that The US Federal Reserve Bank has enormous influence in our society.

The Real Matrix

Enough influence to function as The Real Matrix.

Inflation

Moreover as our central bank struggles to control inflation the result may be a recession.

Deflation

Even more a much bigger and more dangerous recession may be in the making.

Meanwhile every nomad I know is rooting for a deflationary recession.

Food and Fuel

That is to say much lower prices for fuel and the things we nomads need.

Back In The World

On the other hand this kind of situation might not be good for people back in the world.

Pressures Of Life

Finally I have often talked about the pressure of life back in the land of bricks and sticks.

No Judgements

Certainly this is not offered as a judgement.

Observation

But only an observation.

Gratitude

And it makes me glad to be a nomad.

Income Not Keeping Pace With Inflation

For example recent data shows incomes are not keeping pace with inflation.

Adds To The Pressure

And that adds a lot of pressure to life.

Provo Itself

To sum up Provo itself is a much younger community.

Therefore I talk about Provo’s demographics and history a little bit.

And of course, there’s nothing like a walk through a Walmart!

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The-Real-Matrix-Bob Davis Podcast 1063

 

 

 

US-Debt-Kills-Repo-Markets?-Bob Davis Podcast 885

Pay Attention To This Issue

My job is to bring new issues to the attention of subscribers and listeners. That’s why I sat down Saturday and recorded US-Debt-Kills-Repo-Markets?-Bob Davis Podcast 885.

Repo Market Hell

First of all I am not a banker but I stay current on financial news. Especially relevant are the concerns experts are voicing about something called the Repo Markets.

Not Where Your Car Goes When It’s Repossessed

In US-Debt-Kills-Repo-Markets?-Bob Davis Podcast 885 I’ll provide a definition of these markets. I’ll also explain ‘Repurchase Agreements‘.

Key Markets For World Banking Liquidity

Just remember, these markets are instrumental in keeping the world’s banking system afloat on a day to day basis.

Drying Up Like The Dust Bowl

That’s why it’s most noteworthy the repo markets unexpectedly started to dry up in the fall.

Fed Rides To The Rescue…Again

The drought forced the United States Federal Reserve Bank to dump billions into these little known markets.

Billions

More billions than the banking experts expected.

More Billions

320 Billion since last fall.

Even More Billions From The Fed

Even more the Federal Reserve has projected dumping as much as another 500 billion into these markets in 2020.

Whistling Past The Graveyard

Why? According to some, the Fed wants these markets, largely based on United States Treasury Bonds, to stay open and liquid.

Big Federal Deficits Finally Taking Their Toll?

After all, the federal government has ever larger budget deficits and debt to finance.

Trillions of Dollars of Debt Gotta Go Somewhere

Now hold onto your hats. The federal government has been dumping US Treasuries on these markets in 2019, in increasing amounts. After all, they have a now trillion dollar budget deficit to cover.

Rumors Of Bank Failures

Other supposed reasons for the problem include rumors of a big European Bank in trouble.

Could Be The Hedge Funds

Some blame the big hedge funds.

Or, Hedge Funds Are Saving Our Asses

Others say there’s so much federal debt out there, the hedge funds are saving our asses right now.

Regulations

Furthermore it’s suggested post 2008 financial crisis regulations are the culprit.

Too Much US Government Debt

Finally the biggest culprit could be there’s too much US Government debt and it’s draining the banks’ reserve accounts. Imagine that!

Your Broke Ass Uncle Sam

In conclusion can we at long last dispense with the old government-debt-doesn’t-effect-private-credit argument?

Asking A Question

I don’t like to take positions so I’ll ask this as a question.

Drunken Sailors

Isn’t it a travesty that so called conservatives have jumped on the all night drunken binge boat with usually spendthrift democrats?

Thanks Republicans!

As a result we wonder, weren’t Republicans and Tea Party Trumpers for spending less and limiting the power of government?

Nero Fiddled…

Could they be playing Nero while Rome starts burning?

Where’s That Graveyard

Are we whistling past the graveyard again? Only time will tell.

Sponsored by Reliafund Payment Processors and Ryan Plumbing and Heating of Saint Paul

US-Debt-Kills-Repo-Markets?-Bob Davis Podcast 885