2020-Like-2016-Only-Worse-Bob Davis Podcast 950

2020 Election Polls So Far

Firstly I’ve done at least four podcasts focused on the 2020 election polls. In addition I have been at odds with the media because I’ve said from the beginning this election is nowhere near decided. Now it’s even closer. Details in 2020-Like-2016-Only-Worse-Bob Davis Podcast 950.

Media Clinging To Made Up Story

Secondly many media penguins are still touting national polls. Even more they cling to a story line the democratic ticket will win “in a landslide”.

Catching Up To Me

However suddenly many of these same media penguins have started to say what I was saying in these podcasts months ago. 2020 promises to be a close election.

2020 Battlegrounds Versus 2016

For example Real Clear Politics features an analysis of Hillary Clinton’s poll performance at this time in 2016. Then they compare it to Biden’s polling this year. Find it here.

Battlegrounds Are Unpredictable

In other words we now see the polling shows a much closer 2020 election than we saw in 2016. Similarly unpredictable tighter democrat and republican margins in battleground states also suggest either candidate could win more of those states with a plurality than 2016.

This is Not Over No Matter What They Tell You

To sum up no matter what you hear, this election is not over. Learn more in 2020-Like-2016-Only-Worse-Bob Davis Podcast 950.

No Clear Leader

More importantly there is no clear leader at this time, despite the national polling.

No Odds, Predictions, Or Partisanship

Finally I do not try to tell you who’s going to win. I will not read things that are not in the polls or quote national polls. I will not give you odds, chances or any other prediction based on these polls.

An Effective Predictor! Who Knew?

Certainly this approach along with my focus on battleground states has proven to be an effective predictor in itself, once the rest of the penguins in the media catch up.

The Life Of An Insect

In conclusion the part of the election season where people actually start paying attention is like the life of an insect. Short. In addition it is also volatile and unpredictable despite the story lines and predictions on both sides.

Crazy Out There

Finally, yes. It’s crazy out there.

Developments With Impact…Or Not

In short any development can potentially skew polling numbers one way or another on any given day.

No Picks, Odds or Predictions

But if you want analysis that doesn’t pick a side or try to convince you of an outcome, this is the place for it.

Sponsored by Strategic Business Attorney Nathan W. Nelson at Virtus Law and Auntie B Rentals and Realty One Group Choice

2020-Like-2016-Only-Worse-Bob Davis Podcast 950

 

 

 

Live-From-The-Wilderness-Bob Davis Podcast 949

Live From The Political Wilderness!

These days the only way to see things clearly is stand back. Way back. I live in the high country. The wilderness. Learn more in Live-From-The-Wilderness-Bob Davis Podcast 949.

Been Here For Years

Firstly I’ve been here in the wilderness for years.

Best Approach For Listeners and Subscribers

Secondly I think the wilderness has turned out to be best thing for subscribers and listeners of this podcast.

Political Realignment

Because of my vantage point I see a big political realignment coming and I don’t have a dog in that race.

Trapped In The Roach Motel Of Politics

Even more those still trapped in the republican or democrat world might seriously think about the so called wilderness as a destination.

How The Party System Changes

Above all this podcast defines the party system and explains what realignment might mean.

Not Hearing What I Need To Hear

I have certainly said I am not hearing what I need to hear from the mainline political parties.

Land Of Political Confusion

During the time I have been in the high country the political confusion has only increased.

Nothing Seems To Make Sense

Likewise for many nothing seems to make sense anymore.

Hope For The Future

On the other hand there is a hopeful reason for this confusion. That’s what I want to talk about in Live-From-The-Wilderness-Bob Davis Podcast 949.

Forging A New Party System

To clarify I think the winner, or loser of the 2020 election may forge a new party system in the United States.

It’s As American As…

That is to say the political make up of the two main parties is about to change significantly. This has happened in the same vein in America several times since the 1790’s.

Partisan Commentators That Attack Their Standard Bearers Are Still Partisan

Finally I take some shots at commentators on one side the current divide as well as protesters on the other.

Our Political System Has To Change

To sum up it’s clear our political system has to change. We’re not addressing new technologies and the changes it brings. There’s been no real discussion of our approach to the rest of the world and our real economic problems or opportunities in this political season.

Something To Think About

In conclusion part of the mission of these podcasts is to give listeners and subscribers something to think about rather than to push you down a path.

Your Vote Is Your Business

I’ve always thought what you fight for and how you vote is your business and your business alone.

Sponsored by AuntieBRentals and Reality One Group Choice and by Nathan W. Nelson Strategic Business Attorney at Virtus Law

Live-From-The-Wilderness-Bob Davis Podcast 949

 

Midnight-Lake-Walk-And-Talk-Bob Davis Podcast 948

Midnight Lake Walk and Talk

These days I hate to say it but the election campaigns are shifting into high gear. I’ve been touring the upper Midwest and needed more time by the lake. Learn more in Midnight-Lake-Walk-And-Talk-Bob Davis Podcast 948.

Political Takeaways From My Recent Road Trip

Certainly my road trip to Michigan’s Upper Peninsula and West Coast was for fun. However I saw some things from a political perspective that are worth mentioning.

Politics Losing Its Luster

Most importantly when you’re doing a road trip podcast the political stuff loses it’s luster.

Stumbling Through Woods and The Shore

Therefore I decided to put my observations into another podcast. So join me as I stumble around the lake shore and woods in Midnight-Lake-Walk-And-Talk-Bob Davis Podcast 948.

Here Comes The Campaign

When this week is over the 2020 election campaign will be in full swing.

No Predictions

In addition to the recent podcasts I’ve done about polling I examine this issue of ‘predicting the future’.

Questions About What We’re Being Told

Even more my quick tour through the traditionally democrat and union parts of the Upper Midwest yields some questions about what you are being told these days.

Far From Decided

I was one of the first who noted that Trump could win in 2016. My analysis of the polls so far as well as some detail gleaned from these trips suggest this election is far from decided yet.

Calm Waters Starlight

Finally there’s something about the calm waters and starlight of a late summer midnight.

Put On Your Headphones

If you listen to this podcast with headphones you’ll be right there with me as I walk barefoot. In the dark. Avoiding acorns and other debris. From the fire to the lake and back.

Media and Campaigns Preaching To The Choir

To sum up despite the media’s penchant for predicting the future and preaching to the choir this is not over.

Suddenly A Literal Three Day TV Commercial Is News?

Most importantly think about the irony of how the media covers conventions which used to be deliberative. What is now news is essentially and literally a produced television commercial.

Either Way People Are Gonna Vote

Even so people are going to make up their minds and cast votes in some way in November.

Beware The Deep Impact…Of An Asteroid!

Unless an asteroid produces a deep impact event, just before the election on November 3rd.

Sponsored by Nathan W Nelson Strategic Attorney and Founder of Virtus Law and AuntieBRentals

Midnight-Lake-Walk-And-Talk-Bob Davis Podcast 948