Podcast 520-Bob Davis Podcasts Radio Show-33

Podcast 520-Bob Davis Podcasts Radio Show-33. Heading into the the US Independence Day Holiday. The British Exit Vote Fallout and the potential for a Black Swan event are covered extensively in Podcast 520-Bob Davis Podcasts Radio Show-33 with new original content and excerpts from this week’s podcasts. Oddly enough the ‘mother country’, Great Britain, declared her own independence with the vote to exit the Euro Zone just over a week ago. In an echo of British reaction to the colonies’ declaration of independence in 1776, the unelected suzerains of the European Union were first shocked, then angry. Media reaction to the British vote shifted from hysterical to hostile. Let’s not forget that coverage of the vote did not detail the contours of the issue. There was very little reporting, before the vote, on which trade agreements the UK has with the EU might be effected, the fact that the vote is not binding, or how the UK might invoke the Lisbon Treaty in preparation for an exit. On the business side of the equation, all Americans heard was that the markets were crashing and it would be the end of the world, financially speaking. Slightly more than a week later, markets are recovering as buying opportunities abound. Here’s another example of a situation where the media fails to cover an event, other than to ‘predict’ the outcome of a vote, and then loses its head once an outcome it did not predict, occurs. In this review of the week’s podcast and the week’s news, two segments are devoted to reaction to the British Vote and what it might mean. Some Americans might be surprised to learn that the implications of the British vote aren’t limited just to the UK, but also include countries and people everywhere that feel the heavy weight of government on their backs. A ‘government’ always there to cure all that ails us, never has to explain its incompetence. Maybe this is what voters in Britain might be saying. With all the shouting and screaming and pounding, the telling you want to think, how to act and what you ‘should’ and ‘should not’ do, it might be a good time to take stock and spend some time with your family. How many people have this feeling that another shoe is about to drop. What is the possibility of a Black Swan Event? An historic event with the power to influence politics and society far into the future? Despite all the conspiracy theories about the people in charge maybe the truth is, they really don’t have a clue what they’re doing which is actually pretty frightening? So enjoy your burgers and beer, pretzels and family. If we are on the verge of a major event, we’ll look back on the summer of 2016 as that moment in time before everything changed.

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Podcast 405

China Syndrome. As the China Market Meltdown story goes mainstream, it’s pundit tug-o-war between ‘China Doom’ proponents and ‘Nothing To See Here Folks’ adherents. Fun for the media, not so fun if you’re trying to figure out where this might go … could go wrong. Hopefully this podcast will be of some help. We start from the proposition that no one really knows what’s going on in China. It’s possible even the highest people in the Chinese Communist Government don’t really know what’s going on in China. Despite what is being said, there will be winners and losers if China actually does melt down, and surprises along the way. Does an economic collapse in China mean an end to the People’s Republic of China? What might that look like if it does happen? Or, will this problem simply be one of those momentary pauses, fodder for a couple of days relief from political nonsense in the US, before we get back to arguing about Donald Trump’s latest missive, Jeb Bush’s black hand, or Hillary Clinton’s email. It certainly feels like we’re nearing one of those strange historic pivot points, but whether the market meltdown in China, and the angst in markets across the world from Europe and Asia to the United States are in fact, that black swan pivot point. Could be. Hard to tell. Pivot points and Black Swan events don’t fit perfectly into decades, and are hard to predict. Its fun to hear people saying, “I’ve been predicting this for years” after something happens that looks like it could be a black swan event. In fact, historic pivot points have to be something more than just a Black Swan, but something that happens, that afterward people can clearly point to that event as the beginning of ‘when things changed’. One thing is for sure; Hold onto your hats (if you wear one), there is a strong feeling out there that what passes for current events today, may be about to change … for good. Sponsored by Ryan Plumbing and Heating of Saint Paul.

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Podcast 389

Black Swans. What is a Black Swan Event? By definition, its not necessarily predictable, but we try in this podcast. We’re at the end of an era in the United States. You could say the same about the west in general, and maybe the rest of the world. While things seem on a relatively predictable path in the present time frame one thing we can all be sure of; Something will happen. Things will change. Perhaps significantly. What then is the event that introduces the pivot point that changes politics, society and history? We can only speculate. A financial crisis in China that leads to chaos. Disruption in the Euro Zone triggered by Greece that upsets the balance of power and destabilizes the Balkans. A nuclear weapon in the hands of ISIS. An EMP attack that turns our our technological wonders into junk. Disease. Earthquakes. Comet strikes. Aliens landing. Pick your poison. Or, Black Swan Events that end up being really good. The discovery of a stable anti or reverse aging drug. A way to increase intelligence in human beings. Manageable Machine Intelligence. A breakthrough in agriculture or energy that provides a stable source of food and power. The development of anti-gravity capabilities to lift huge payloads into space, revolutionizing space travel. A really good powdered milk! (JK). The key with these events isn’t necessarily predicting the event itself; It’s being prepared for, and predicting the reaction of mere mortals to the event. It wasn’t the stock market crash of 1929 that caused the depression, it was the government’s lame brained reaction to it. It wasn’t the assassination of Arch Duke Ferdinand that caused World War I, it was the secret pacts and misunderstood capabilities, coupled with irreversible mobilizations that caused World War I. And so on. It’s fun to speculate on the future. Sponsored by X Government Cars.

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