New-Epoch-Dead-Ahead-Bob Davis Podcast 926

New Future Dead Ahead

First of all no one likes lock downs, wearing masks or worrying about what comes next. Even so we have caught a glimpse of a the future. Working from home. Video conferencing. Pivoting to on line services. There’s a new future dead ahead. Learn more in New-Epoch-Dead-Ahead-Bob Davis Podcast 926.

End Of An Era

I’ve already suggested we’re on the cusp of major change. Even more the end of an era.

Triggers Of Change Present Before The Pandemic

Moreover the triggers of change were already in place before the Corona Virus Pandemic.

Things To Think About

What stays? How will things change? I’ll give you some things to think about in New-Epoch-Dead-Ahead-Bob Davis Podcast 926.

Define Epoch

Especially relevant is the definition of the word epoch.

Long And Distinct Period

The word Epoch is a long and distinct period of history with a particular feature or characteristic.

The End Of A Long Arc

I personally think we’re at the end of a much longer arc.

Final Breaths Of Industrial Revolution

We’re living through the dying breaths of the industrial revolution which started in Britain at the end of the 1700’s, peaked in the 1950’s and 60’s.

Age Of Technology

Above all what’s coming is an age of technology which took its first breaths in the 1950’s, 60’s and 70’s, and is now growing into its chaotic adolescence.

Losing Cultural Landmarks

When an epoch ends we have no cultural, economic or cultural landmarks.

Fasten Your Seatbelts

Finally my sense is that previous periods of change will pale in comparison to what we have just begun to go through, even though we’ve had plenty of warning.

Are We Ready For Prime Time? Not Even Close

I’ve often said we, our leaders and our systems are ill equipped to deal with this change.

When Did The New World Emerge?

In conclusion somewhere along the line the old world began to fade and the new emerged.

Good Things and Bad Things

We’ve seen a preview of the bad things and the good things to come. Let’s think about some of the good things and the future in New-Epoch-Dead-Ahead-Bob Davis Podcast 926.

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New-Epoch-Dead-Ahead-Bob Davis Podcast 926

 

Living-In-The-Past-Bob Davis Podcast 886

Living In The Past?

These days it sure seems like there’s a lot of people living in the past. Glory Days. Happier Times. Why? We’ll talk about it in Living-In-The-Past-Bob Davis Podcast 886.

Friends Have A Deep Conversation

One of the great things about friendship are the deeper conversation friends often have. Recently a good friend and I had a talk after dinner. The country is changing. There were regrets, a memories of a world that was maybe simpler and more predictable.

Obsession With The Past

Especially relevant is the question of when in life does this obsession with the past begin?

This Time Is The Best Time

I think we’re living in extraordinary times. Despite the difficulties I wake up every day excited about what’s going to happen next.

Where do you live in time?

Certainly children live in the now. Most adolescents probably live in the future. In contrast it seems like people start mentally residing in the past at some point in middle age.

When does the past become an obsession?

Because this is the time when the days are shortest maybe we have time for more reflection. It’s natural we would yearn for the traditions of a bygone age. But I have recently encountered some evidence that suggests we’re doing more than yearning for traditions. For instance…

Losing Trust

First of all a Pew study was released recently which says most of us don’t trust the media. ‘Conservatives’ are much more likely to distrust the media than their so called ‘liberal’ counterparts.

YouTube Is My Bellwether

Second because I watch a lot of YouTube I come across some pretty weird stuff. Moreover my favorite genre are the people who predict the apocalypse.

Three Days Of Darkness

Recently I ran across a vein of gold when it comes to apocalypse videos on YouTube. The three days of darkness people. I’ll tell you all about it in Living-In-The-Past-Bob Davis Podcast 886. However sometimes I think those predicting the end of the world are really seeing their own world end.

A Preoccupation With Death For Boomers

Most noteworthy? We don’t usually want to talk about death but a preoccupation with it can begin pretty early in life. I wonder if the result of that is an increasing reliance on memories of an easier, simpler time.

Avoiding That Mindset

Finally I try to avoid that mindset. I really do think this is an amazing time. Even though we have many challenges today.

We Remember The Good

In conclusion the one truth about the past is, we generally remember only the good things.

Journey Through Time

Furthermore all of us alive today are on a journey together through time. Like a train trip. Some of us will have to get off the train before others. Also new people will get on as we get off. We all have a role to play on this trip, but eventually it dawns on us…No matter how much we might want to, we’re not driving the train.

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Living-In-The-Past-Bob Davis Podcast 886

 

 

Toss Up House Elections 2018-Part 4-Podcast 756

As I do the last two podcasts in the toss up series at the Bob Davis Podcasts, more predictions of a democrat wave are most notable. Are these predictions true? We’ll find out in Toss Up House Elections 2018-Part 4-Podcast 756.

Shellacking

In addition to commentators AP reported this week that republican pollsters are telling top republicans they’re in for a shellacking in November.

As a mission of the Bob Davis Podcasts I have been looking at those elections deemed ‘toss ups’ by the experts.

Conventional Wisdom Is Right Until Wrong

Especially relevant is the idea behind the mission. No predictions. Non partisan. What is the situation in these key districts in the final weeks of the election. Readers, subscribers and listeners might be surprised to learn very few public polls exist. Conventional wisdom drives most of these predictions. I detail this for each toss up in Toss Up House Elections 2018-Part 4-Podcast 756.

Close Elections Don’t Always Mean Flips

From North Carolina to Texas in Toss Up House Elections 2018-Part 4-Podcast 756. Toss up races are simply close elections for whatever reason. Moreover most US House elections are in solid democrat or republican districts. This year some say there are more than 40 districts that will be close. Why they’re close is key.

Open Seats And Changing Geography

In some cases the district is an open seat because of retirements. In other cases, the contours of the district’s geography have changed. What was once a solid republican or democrat district is now supposedly more ‘balanced’.

Everyone Hates Congress…

Finally the real question in the 2018 midterms is whether people will vote their opinions of the president or local concerns. The old saying goes, everyone hates congress but not their congressman.

One Size Fits All Election?

In conclusion I spent a fair amount of time not only looking through the data for these districts but also watching some of the internet and TV ads for candidates. Sometimes it’s hard to tell the republican from the democrat. This is not a one size fits all election even though the media would have its viewers believe it is.

Once I finish this series in this podcast, and the next, I’ll do one more podcast with my analysis since there isn’t much time for that in these podcasts dealing with individual districts.

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Toss Up House Elections 2018-Part 4-Podcast 756