Jumping-The-Gun-On-2020-Bob Davis Podcast 958

Jumping The Gun Again?

First of all they’re jumping the gun again. Learn more in Jumping-The-Gun-On-2020-Bob Davis Podcast 958.

Secondly I don’t care who wins the presidential election in 2020.

Leaps Of Faith

However I can’t ignore the leaps of faith when it comes to candidate preference polls in this election.

There Are Limits

In other words there are limits to the conclusions to be drawn from political polling.

Bob Davis Podcast Coverage Of Election 2020

Certainly this has been the subject of more than one political podcast this year.

Battleground State Review Series

Consequently it’s time for another review of the polls in the battleground states.

Even more paying special attention to balancing breathless predictions about ‘who’s going to win’.

Too Many Factors For Predictions

Most importantly there are too many factors to consider a prediction about the outcome of the vote in these battleground states.

But That Doesn’t Stop The Media

In addition it sure looks to me like media is jumping the gun. Again.

And in a world where everything one candidate does is right a proper and everything the other does is wrong and misguided, I am not surprised.

Non Partisan. No Attacks. No Defense.

Finally I don’t seek to defend or attack either mainline party candidate.

Blind Spot

Instead I point out a significant blind spot with almost all media in the United States in this election year.

Don’t Know What Will Happen November 3rd

In conclusion we don’t know what the outcome of this election will be. I think it is very difficult to predict given the many moving parts this year.

New Ballot Wrinkles

For example, absentee ballots, early voting and so on.

Balanced Coverage

To sum up I have been producing balanced coverage of these polls. That includes explanations how on they work and their limitations.

Listen to Jumping-The-Gun-On-2020-Bob Davis Podcast 958 for some poll analysis without predictions.

Sponsored by Kim Nybo State Farm Insurance and LaCroix Law Real Estate Attorneys

Jumping-The-Gun-On-2020-Bob Davis Podcast 958

 

 

 

No-News-Is-News-Bob Davis Podcast 953

No News IS News

These days the first thing to know is no news, IS the news. We’ll talk about it in No-News-Is-News-Bob Davis Podcast 953.

Objective Sources?

Most important for this walk and talk podcast is that some people think there are still ‘objective sources’.

Podcast Integration

First of I do walk and talk podcasts for a reason. These freewheeling podcasts are my way of integrating the ‘heavier’ podcasts I’ve done recently.

Therapy

Walking and Talking is therapy for me.

Weirdest Election Ever

Secondly we’re less than 60 days away from what is sure to be one of the weirdest US elections in memory.

Poorly Served

As a result of walking and talking I hit upon the idea we’re still being poorly served by all kinds of media in this country.

Lies are Truth…Truth Is A Lie

Even more is the question of where people turn when the intent of every source is to convince, manipulate or spread lies as ‘truth’.

Pundits Addicted To Predicting

Above all my focus lately has been reporting on political polls. In No-News-Is-News-Bob Davis Podcast 953 I take a few shots at the so called pundits and their predictions.

Rediscovering The Battleground States

Certainly the media has recently rediscovered the so called ‘battleground states’. In recent elections, mostly located in the central US.

Bob Davis Podcasts Has Been In The Battlegrounds All Along

We’ve been discussing the battleground state polls exclusively since 2019. In addition, most of the media aren’t reporting those polls properly currently.

National Polls and Manipulation

Above all this is the place to get analysis on key state polls without the partisanship. In addition I don’t make predictions and I don’t care who ‘wins’ this election.

Realignment

Finally as I think we’re in the midst of a political and social realignment. No one can tell you where that’s going to end up.

Something IS Wrong

For instance the feeling we all have something is wrong but we just can’t put our finger on what it is.

Walking Through A Late Summer Night

To sum up it’s always better to walk through a still late summer night and talk these things out.

That’s what a walk and talk is all about.

(Editor’s Note: I hate it when I have to do corrections, but this was a big mistake, so…Mentioned a Real Clear Politics metric which compares 2016 averages to 2020 averages between Hillary Clinton’s poll numbers then to Joe Biden’s now. I reversed those numbers. Biden is running about one point ahead of Clinton in the top battleground states and substantially better than the former Secretary of State in other metrics. However this doesn’t change how close the polls are overall in the battleground states. But given that I reversed the numbers, the analysis that Biden is running behind Clinton doesn’t work. All the more reason not to do analysis of the polls on the run in a walk and talk podcast.)

Sponsored by Kim Nybo Insurance

No-News-Is-News-Bob Davis Podcast 953

 

 

 

 

Facebook’s-Real-Evil-Purpose-Bob Davis Podcast 939

More Fake People and Fake Comments

Firstly I’ve detected a big increase in the number of fake people and fake comments on Facebook recently. Learn more in Facebook’s-Real-Evil-Purpose-Bob Davis Podcast 939.

Reposting Podcast 939

Moreover not only is Facebook’s user experience poor, so is the experience for advertisers. See the editor’s note at the bottom of this blog to learn more about the trials and tribulations of content creators and advertisers on FB

Why Fake Engagement?

Secondly what’s the reason for all this ‘fake engagement’ on the social media giant.

Discord and Disagreement

For example we should be now be aware Facebook encourages discord and disagreement. From the time of my first post on this subject new information has come to light.

Facebook Is The Wellspring Of Discord

Even more Facebook might be the chief cause for the personal and political divide in the US these days.

Dangerous and Destructive

To clarify, yes I’m saying FB is the most dangerous and destructive force in our society.

No Comments Please

Especially relevant to this podcast is a further clarification of why I refuse to allow comments on my FB posts. Get that podcast here.

Incendiary and Divisive Comments…From Bots…Or Worse

In the course of promoting what I do I have seen an increase in the number of clearly fake people making incendiary and divisive comments.

Could Facebook Be Behind It?

Finally I’ll ask this as a question. I wonder if Facebook itself is behind this. And, if they are, why? Check out Facebook’s-Real-Evil-Purpose-Bob Davis Podcast 939.

Negative Reinforcement Always Wins

In the same vein tech writers long ago exposed FB algorithms designed to reward discord and division. Negative reinforcement creates a stronger bond and more engagement than positive reinforcement.

Propaganda

Even more propaganda on social media platforms has always been suspect.

Usual Suspects

For example the Russians. What about the Chinese? Above all political campaigns here in the United States.

Massive Manipulation Of Americans…And The World

Here’s my thing. In short I came the conclusion recently it all might just be FB itself manipulating users for its own purposes or worse, at someone or something’s behest.

Think Twice

Consequently we all might think twice before engaging in back and forth arguments on FB. In addition, we might think twice before commenting at all.

(Editor’s note: I am doing a new post for podcast 939 due to two reasons. First replacing an image for a podcast with Facebook clunky and byzantine image ‘scraping’ process is slower than just copying and pasting a new post with a new SEO title and some minor changes, Second, Facebook also has images with any artwork that uses the Facebook logo, but slightly changes it. So much for the social media giant’s promotion of ‘free speech’.)

Sponsored by Kim Nybo Insurance

Facebook’s-Real-Evil-Purpose-Bob Davis Podcast 939