Jumping-The-Gun-On-2020-Bob Davis Podcast 958

Jumping The Gun Again?

First of all they’re jumping the gun again. Learn more in Jumping-The-Gun-On-2020-Bob Davis Podcast 958.

Secondly I don’t care who wins the presidential election in 2020.

Leaps Of Faith

However I can’t ignore the leaps of faith when it comes to candidate preference polls in this election.

There Are Limits

In other words there are limits to the conclusions to be drawn from political polling.

Bob Davis Podcast Coverage Of Election 2020

Certainly this has been the subject of more than one political podcast this year.

Battleground State Review Series

Consequently it’s time for another review of the polls in the battleground states.

Even more paying special attention to balancing breathless predictions about ‘who’s going to win’.

Too Many Factors For Predictions

Most importantly there are too many factors to consider a prediction about the outcome of the vote in these battleground states.

But That Doesn’t Stop The Media

In addition it sure looks to me like media is jumping the gun. Again.

And in a world where everything one candidate does is right a proper and everything the other does is wrong and misguided, I am not surprised.

Non Partisan. No Attacks. No Defense.

Finally I don’t seek to defend or attack either mainline party candidate.

Blind Spot

Instead I point out a significant blind spot with almost all media in the United States in this election year.

Don’t Know What Will Happen November 3rd

In conclusion we don’t know what the outcome of this election will be. I think it is very difficult to predict given the many moving parts this year.

New Ballot Wrinkles

For example, absentee ballots, early voting and so on.

Balanced Coverage

To sum up I have been producing balanced coverage of these polls. That includes explanations how on they work and their limitations.

Listen to Jumping-The-Gun-On-2020-Bob Davis Podcast 958 for some poll analysis without predictions.

Sponsored by Kim Nybo State Farm Insurance and LaCroix Law Real Estate Attorneys

Jumping-The-Gun-On-2020-Bob Davis Podcast 958

 

 

 

Art-Of-Politics-Polling-Prediction-Bob Davis Podcast 935

Updating Current Political Polls

Firstly Art-Of-Politics-Polling-Prediction-Bob Davis Podcast 935 is part of a series of podcasts updating current polls for 2020.

No Blanket Statements

Secondly I tend to avoid blanket statements when it comes to political polls.

Politics is An Art

Finally I believe despite all the technology we have politics is still an art.

No Silver Bullet For Predictions

Even more there is no application or spreadsheet that can ‘predict’ an outcome based on polls.

Probabilities

In short we can only look at probabilities.

Snapshots

Polls are snapshots in real time.

Shocking Confusion When It Comes To Polls

Meanwhile pundits and commentators continue to display a shocking confusion when it comes to understanding political polling.

Out and Out Bias

Most importantly some are ‘in the tank’ for one or the other candidate.

National Polls A Disservice To Supporters of Both Candidates

Consequently all of this political chatter and predictions does a disservice to supporters of all candidates.

Your Own Reality Check

On the other hand what if I can show you how to do your own reality check on your smart phone whenever you hear some wild prediction of a ‘landslide’ for either candidate.

That’s what Art-Of-Politics-Polling-Prediction-Bob Davis Podcast 935 is all about.

Still All About Showing Up

In conclusion if we have learned anything over the years, it is politics still belongs to those who show up.

State By State Battleground

Working hard down to the election is always the best approach. National polls are useless as the popular vote does not determine the presidency in the US.

Stay With The Bob Davis Podcasts

To sum up stay with me for a clear eyed view of the state by state polling results so that you’re not shocked and surprised on election night. Anything is possible, but right now it’s still a close race.

(Editor’s Note: As I recorded this podcast new polls were being released and results uploaded. As of the date of this post, the new polls have not changed my conclusion that 2020 will be close based on tight races in battleground states. I’ll do another podcast after the next spate of polls and we’ll see how things change. The good news is, if you listen to this podcast you’ll know how to update yourself when new polls come out.)

Sponsored by Virtus Law Strategic Business Specialists

Art-Of-Politics-Polling-Prediction-Bob Davis Podcast 935

Will-Coronavirus-Sink-Trump?-Bob Davis Podcast-907

Confusion About A Pandemic

First of all there’s a lot of confusion about Coronavirus these days. One thing is for sure. It’s spreading across the world. Will-Coronavirus-Sink-Trump? Learn more in Will-Coronovirus-Sink-Trump?-Bob Davis Podcast-907.

Economic Fall Out Will-Coronavirus-Sink-Trump?

Certainly I think we need to talk about the possible economic fall out from Coronovirus. Above all, when it comes to politics, isn’t it all about the economy?

Economy Top Issue

Moreover since the economy is the number one issue in key battleground states, could a Coronavirus pandemic sink Trump?

Half Truths

Especially relevant, half truths about our ‘booming’ economy and the expectations these half truths have created. Even more reports about negative economic effects are spreading faster than Covid-19.

State By State Battlegrounds

Furthermore I’ve been reviewing polls and potential match ups in battle ground states. In addition researching economic and business news with an eye toward the 2020 election.

Republican Fortunes Tied To Economic ‘Boom’

Truth is not only republican fortunes are tied to Trump. The president has attached himself to stock market performance and a ‘booming’ economy.

Health Care Too

Even more Economy and Health Care are consistently top issues. Especially in Wisconsin, Ohio, Michigan, Pennsyvania and Florida. Key states in the election this fall. What happens if the virus causes a recession? Learn more in Will-Coronovirus-Sink-Trump?-Bob Davis Podcast-907.

Stock Markets And Economic Indicators Could Sink Trump

In conclusion, the stock market is already in correction. Concerns about the bond market and economic indicators preceded the threat of Coronavirus.

Top Issues

Finally no matter how serious it gets, this will be one of the top issues going forward.

Can We Talk?

Let’s talk about the contours and possible effects on the battleground for election 2020.

Sponsored by Ryan Plumbing and Heating of Saint Paul

Will-Coronovirus-Sink-Trump?-Bob Davis Podcast-907