Art-Of-Politics-Polling-Prediction-Bob Davis Podcast 935

Updating Current Political Polls

Firstly Art-Of-Politics-Polling-Prediction-Bob Davis Podcast 935 is part of a series of podcasts updating current polls for 2020.

No Blanket Statements

Secondly I tend to avoid blanket statements when it comes to political polls.

Politics is An Art

Finally I believe despite all the technology we have politics is still an art.

No Silver Bullet For Predictions

Even more there is no application or spreadsheet that can ‘predict’ an outcome based on polls.

Probabilities

In short we can only look at probabilities.

Snapshots

Polls are snapshots in real time.

Shocking Confusion When It Comes To Polls

Meanwhile pundits and commentators continue to display a shocking confusion when it comes to understanding political polling.

Out and Out Bias

Most importantly some are ‘in the tank’ for one or the other candidate.

National Polls A Disservice To Supporters of Both Candidates

Consequently all of this political chatter and predictions does a disservice to supporters of all candidates.

Your Own Reality Check

On the other hand what if I can show you how to do your own reality check on your smart phone whenever you hear some wild prediction of a ‘landslide’ for either candidate.

That’s what Art-Of-Politics-Polling-Prediction-Bob Davis Podcast 935 is all about.

Still All About Showing Up

In conclusion if we have learned anything over the years, it is politics still belongs to those who show up.

State By State Battleground

Working hard down to the election is always the best approach. National polls are useless as the popular vote does not determine the presidency in the US.

Stay With The Bob Davis Podcasts

To sum up stay with me for a clear eyed view of the state by state polling results so that you’re not shocked and surprised on election night. Anything is possible, but right now it’s still a close race.

(Editor’s Note: As I recorded this podcast new polls were being released and results uploaded. As of the date of this post, the new polls have not changed my conclusion that 2020 will be close based on tight races in battleground states. I’ll do another podcast after the next spate of polls and we’ll see how things change. The good news is, if you listen to this podcast you’ll know how to update yourself when new polls come out.)

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Art-Of-Politics-Polling-Prediction-Bob Davis Podcast 935

Hurricane-Hysteria-Creating-American-Dreamworld-Bob Davis Podcast 860

Real Damage In The Bahamas. A Dreamworld In The US

First of all this podcast is about media coverage. Hurricane Dorian did major damage in the Bahamas. After nearly two weeks of fear from media Dorian had little effect in the US. Learn more in Hurricane-Hysteria-Creating-American-Dreamworld-Bob Davis Podcast 860.

Speculation and Predictions

These days the mission of my podcast is to avoid predicting the future.

Outcomes Matter

Furthermore outcomes matter. Hurricane Dorian exposed how our media lies.

Shoddy Reporting

Moreover hurricane coverage exposed how they cover every story. Shoddy reporting. Predictions by so called experts. Breathless gossip. Dramatic scenes. No facts. Little perspective or context.

Stating The Obvious

In addition, seems like I’m stating the obvious. In Hurricane-Hysteria-Creating-American-Dreamworld-Bob Davis Podcast 860 I’ll tell you why it’s this way.

Public Nuisance

It’s especially relevant to say news coverage has become a public nuisance. Just ask those who evacuated only to learn it was a waste of their time and public resources.

Sharpie President

Moreover why is the President being attacked for his predictions of the storm’s path? Didn’t the media do exactly that for more than a week? Sharpie’s indeed.

Gossip

Seems like major media companies can’t afford real reporters. Also, no one trusts them. No one will talk to them. Certainly this is why they have nothing real to report.

US Achilles Heel

Finally I wonder what happens when there’s a real crisis. Consequently we must admit our advanced communications capability might turn out to be our Achilles Heel. Welcome to the American Dreamworld in this Walk and Talk Podcast.

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Hurricane-Hysteria-Creating-American-Dreamworld-Bob Davis Podcast 860

Photo Finish-Down To The Wire-Election 2018-Podcast 767

With just about two weeks to go until election day 2018 polls are showing tighter races. Suddenly the narratives and storylines the media loves are thrown to the wind. Find out what’s changing in Photo Finish-Down To The Wire-Election 2018-Podcast 767.

Listen To The Election 2018 Series

Especially relevant are the series of podcasts I did looking into all the so called ‘toss up races’. What I found is detailed in that series. Listen to those podcasts here.

House Senate and Governor’s Elections Are Tightening

In addition what I suggested in my series on the midterms is many of these house, senate and governor’s elections would be close anyway. Sure enough across the country polls show tightening races as we come down to the wire.

Media Bias?

Are media elites in Washington and New York City operating from a world view that sees the possibility of a so called ‘blue wave‘ election when there hasn’t been much evidence to support this view? Find out in Photo Finish-Down To The Wire-Election 2018-Podcast 767.

A Primer on Polls. Again.

Finally there are the polls. In this free wheeling podcast I give subscribers and listeners another quick primer on the polls. Polls do not ‘predict’. Polls do not ‘say’. Closer elections make it more difficult for pollsters to ‘predict’ outcomes.

One Poll To Watch Out For

The New York Times/Sienna College poll is singled out in this podcast as problematic. This poll is showing wide variances in its results for candidates in Tennessee, Minnesota and many other places. Should democrats and republicans believe this particular poll. In the absence of any other polls to trend I would tell my listeners to be very dubious of this poll. I’ll tell you why in Photo Finish-Down To The Wire-Election 2018-Podcast 767.

In conclusion the mad rush to analyze the impact of news events on the election, on a day to day basis, is probably a mistake.

This one is going down to the wire to a photo finish!

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Photo Finish-Down To The Wire-Election 2018-Podcast 767