Art-Of-Politics-Polling-Prediction-Bob Davis Podcast 935

Updating Current Political Polls

Firstly Art-Of-Politics-Polling-Prediction-Bob Davis Podcast 935 is part of a series of podcasts updating current polls for 2020.

No Blanket Statements

Secondly I tend to avoid blanket statements when it comes to political polls.

Politics is An Art

Finally I believe despite all the technology we have politics is still an art.

No Silver Bullet For Predictions

Even more there is no application or spreadsheet that can ‘predict’ an outcome based on polls.

Probabilities

In short we can only look at probabilities.

Snapshots

Polls are snapshots in real time.

Shocking Confusion When It Comes To Polls

Meanwhile pundits and commentators continue to display a shocking confusion when it comes to understanding political polling.

Out and Out Bias

Most importantly some are ‘in the tank’ for one or the other candidate.

National Polls A Disservice To Supporters of Both Candidates

Consequently all of this political chatter and predictions does a disservice to supporters of all candidates.

Your Own Reality Check

On the other hand what if I can show you how to do your own reality check on your smart phone whenever you hear some wild prediction of a ‘landslide’ for either candidate.

That’s what Art-Of-Politics-Polling-Prediction-Bob Davis Podcast 935 is all about.

Still All About Showing Up

In conclusion if we have learned anything over the years, it is politics still belongs to those who show up.

State By State Battleground

Working hard down to the election is always the best approach. National polls are useless as the popular vote does not determine the presidency in the US.

Stay With The Bob Davis Podcasts

To sum up stay with me for a clear eyed view of the state by state polling results so that you’re not shocked and surprised on election night. Anything is possible, but right now it’s still a close race.

(Editor’s Note: As I recorded this podcast new polls were being released and results uploaded. As of the date of this post, the new polls have not changed my conclusion that 2020 will be close based on tight races in battleground states. I’ll do another podcast after the next spate of polls and we’ll see how things change. The good news is, if you listen to this podcast you’ll know how to update yourself when new polls come out.)

Sponsored by Virtus Law Strategic Business Specialists

Art-Of-Politics-Polling-Prediction-Bob Davis Podcast 935

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How-Trump-Won-Open-Up-Debate-Bob Davis Podcast 927

Trump Wins, Shut Down Scolds Lose

These days there’s so much static you might not have noticed President Trump’s victory over the shut down scolds. Find out more in How-Trump-Won-Open-Up-Debate-Bob Davis Podcast 927.

How He Did It

Even more how Trump pushed governors to start reopening is important.

Shut Down Protesters Minority

First of all polls show most people support reasonable social distancing guidelines. Moreover those who protested emergency orders represent a minority of Americans.

Lifting The Curtain On Trump’s 2020 Tactics

As a result HOW the president managed to win the reopen debate is key.

This Proves Trump Could Win. Again!

Most importantly the mechanics of this victory show how Trump could win the 2020 election.

Social Media and Misinformation

First of all I’ve been watching how right wing groups use social media and internet platforms to float ideas.

Fringe Fest

Secondly it usually starts with the fringe.

Mainstreamers, Think Tanks and The President Chime In

Then more mainstream sources add commentary, videos, memes and other content in the same vein. Finally, the president chimes in.

Joining Debate On Trump’s Turf

In addition when the rest of the media starts debating it only adds fuel to the fire. Learn more in How-Trump-Won-Open-Up-Debate-Bob Davis Podcast 927.

How To Be Your Own Reporter

I’ve explained all this in a previous podcast which you can find here.

Learn Tactics

However even I was a little surprised when the White House employed the tactics I’ve uncovered in the open up debate.

If You Think Trump Can’t Win In 2020

Above all this is something democrats should pay attention to. In short even some republicans think the president cannot be reelected.

Democrats Be Warned

Meanwhile many democrats say the president cannot win in 2020.

When you consider these tactics, for instance, those who doubt a Trump victory in 2020 might want to think about it.

Trump Just Won A Big One

On the other hand Trump just won a huge victory isolating some of the biggest democrat governors, and opening up the rest of the country,

Pay Attention

In conclusion, this isn’t a podcast about the Corona Virus.

It’s about modern political tactics.

How-Trump-Won-Open-Up-Debate-Bob Davis Podcast 927

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Trump’s-Sinister-Open-Up-Campaign-Bob Davis Podcast 922

Sinister Effort

First of all this is not another partisan podcast about President Trump. It’s about a sinister effort to manipulate. Learn more in Trump’s-Sinister-Open-Up-Campaign-Bob Davis Podcast 922.

Not Going To Tell You What To Think

Seems like everyone these days is telling us whether we should open up again. I am not going to do that.

Where Do Those Memes, Articles and Videos Come From?

Above all what’s especially relevant here are the kinds of information populating social media. Furthermore what’s the source of the information?

Even more I run down some of the sources of ‘news’ being shared.

Suddenly Sinister

Certainly information in support of opening up the country suddenly seems sinister. Learn more in Trump’s-Sinister-Open-Up-Campaign-Bob Davis Podcast 922.

Helpful or Campaign Propaganda?

The most noteworthy question is whether videos and stories on social media are helpful? Or are they cornerstones for the president’s re-election?

Partisan Silos Across The Nation

Above all reactions to the pandemic itself have become partisan.

Patterns and Examples

I’ll take you through two or three examples of seeding social media with partisan political videos and ‘news’.

Manipulated Right and Left

Finally it doesn’t matter where we come down on political issues.

We Need To Know How It’s Being Done

It’s even more important to point out when and how we’re being manipulated.

Don’t believe Everything You See

In conclusion maybe we shouldn’t believe or share anything we see on social media.

How To Research

Consequently maybe we can learn to research where this kind of ‘news’ comes from before we share it.

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(Editor’s note: One of the assertions in this podcast cites controversial reports the president does not read his daily intelligence briefings. Some say the story is false. So far the president has not specifically denied the story and said in 2016 he didn’t want daily intelligence briefings. Moreover the assertion has not been debunked as some have reported.)

Trump’s-Sinister-Open-Up-Campaign-Bob Davis Podcast 922

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