Art-Of-Politics-Polling-Prediction-Bob Davis Podcast 935

Updating Current Political Polls

Firstly Art-Of-Politics-Polling-Prediction-Bob Davis Podcast 935 is part of a series of podcasts updating current polls for 2020.

No Blanket Statements

Secondly I tend to avoid blanket statements when it comes to political polls.

Politics is An Art

Finally I believe despite all the technology we have politics is still an art.

No Silver Bullet For Predictions

Even more there is no application or spreadsheet that can ‘predict’ an outcome based on polls.

Probabilities

In short we can only look at probabilities.

Snapshots

Polls are snapshots in real time.

Shocking Confusion When It Comes To Polls

Meanwhile pundits and commentators continue to display a shocking confusion when it comes to understanding political polling.

Out and Out Bias

Most importantly some are ‘in the tank’ for one or the other candidate.

National Polls A Disservice To Supporters of Both Candidates

Consequently all of this political chatter and predictions does a disservice to supporters of all candidates.

Your Own Reality Check

On the other hand what if I can show you how to do your own reality check on your smart phone whenever you hear some wild prediction of a ‘landslide’ for either candidate.

That’s what Art-Of-Politics-Polling-Prediction-Bob Davis Podcast 935 is all about.

Still All About Showing Up

In conclusion if we have learned anything over the years, it is politics still belongs to those who show up.

State By State Battleground

Working hard down to the election is always the best approach. National polls are useless as the popular vote does not determine the presidency in the US.

Stay With The Bob Davis Podcasts

To sum up stay with me for a clear eyed view of the state by state polling results so that you’re not shocked and surprised on election night. Anything is possible, but right now it’s still a close race.

(Editor’s Note: As I recorded this podcast new polls were being released and results uploaded. As of the date of this post, the new polls have not changed my conclusion that 2020 will be close based on tight races in battleground states. I’ll do another podcast after the next spate of polls and we’ll see how things change. The good news is, if you listen to this podcast you’ll know how to update yourself when new polls come out.)

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Art-Of-Politics-Polling-Prediction-Bob Davis Podcast 935

Election2020-Iowa-City-Bernie-Sanders-Bob Davis Podcast 901

Series End With Bernie Sanders

First of all, this most noteworthy podcast series draws to a close with Bernie Sanders. Go inside one of this signature events in Election2020-Iowa-City-Bernie-Sanders-Bob Davis Podcast 901.

Running To Get Candidates On Record

Certainly it has not been easy to get all the remaining presidential hopefuls on the record in Iowa.

Michael Moore’s Mileage

Likewise for Michael Moore, one of Senator Sanders’ surrogates. Moore proudly touts putting ‘fifteen hundred miles’ on his car in the previous ten days.

Moore’s Got Nothing On Mobile Podcast Command

I got a good laugh out of Moore’s bragging. Mobile Podcast Command has easily added more than two thousand miles in less than a week. Even more on back roads in the winter.

Political Storm Chasing

There is a storm chasing quality about chasing several candidates running an expensive statewide race. All for a straw poll. A feature of hundreds of caucuses held across the state on Monday night, February 3rd.

Two For One

It’s especially relevant that this podcast is the only one of the series that features two events. Senator Sanders was stuck in Washington for the Clive, Iowa event. So, I hotfooted it further east to Iowa City, to get a full Sanders speech, up close and personal. Hear it in Election2020-Iowa-City-Bernie-Sanders-Bob Davis Podcast 901.

Feel The Bern

Finally you get the whole ‘Feel The Bern‘ experience in this podcast. A big event featuring live music, a slice of how the team uses these events to organize volunteers and canvassers and a profane rant by a screaming Michael Moore. Moore struggled to fire up a crowd waiting for the Senator.

All About Organizing

In conclusion there’s no question Senator Sanders’ candidacy has attracted an army of young devotees. The question is going to be whether organizing those supporters will deliver caucus goers.

Caucus In Fairfield

So, from Iowa City it’s on to a caucus in Fairfield, Iowa.

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Election2020-Iowa-City-Bernie-Sanders-Bob Davis Podcast 901

 

 

Podcast 551

Escapism. Given the sour nature of our political discourse these days what do you do to escape. A morning ritual turns into a content generator for the Bob Davis Podcasts in Podcast 551 Escapism. Lately I have been bingewatching TV shows on Netflix and iTunes, with the HBO series “Shameless’ and especially this weekend to watching the entire first series of the Netflix show “Stranger Things”. Stranger Things does such a great job creating an alternate reality, you just can’t get enough. Usually when people recommend TV shows I’m like, “Yeah whatever”. Stranger Things is the exception. What a great show. Getting back to the morning ritual; Every morning I get up, make coffee and head over to the park. I sit on a hill, drink my coffee and am alone with my thoughts. No phone. No social media. No talking to myself at least for that first few minutes of awake time. It’s been great for listening to the thoughts bubbling up from the subconscious and figuring out how to do podcasts about them. This weekend’s binge viewing of Stranger Things made me think about Escapism and how important it has apparently become considering the election year we’re having and coverage of it. When I first talked about the News Cleanse about three years ago on these podcasts, I had no idea it would end up having the power it has to generate new and different things to talk about in the podcasts. I know that, given the current discourse, I don’t want to be a contributing factor to what amounts to misinformation on breaking news stories like the attack at the Mall in Saint Cloud this weekend or the daily and predictable back and forth between presidential candidates trying to capitalize on these kinds of events. Aside from the stuff that actually moves the needle; shifts in the polls, candidates collapsing in public, huge breaking stories like a financial collapse or some major shift in policy from the current administration, it’s ok to check and once in awhile on political news, but I just can’t muster the intellectual interest in the day to day nonsense that seems to animate everyone on the radio, television and on the Internet. What do you do to escape? Movies, Trips to the Wilderness? Binge Watching shows. Drugs and alcohol? How much escape is too much escape. What is healthy escape? How many want to escape, and what happens after the new president is inaugurated in January 2017. Sponsored by Hydrus Performance.