Jumping-The-Gun-On-2020-Bob Davis Podcast 958

Jumping The Gun Again?

First of all they’re jumping the gun again. Learn more in Jumping-The-Gun-On-2020-Bob Davis Podcast 958.

Secondly I don’t care who wins the presidential election in 2020.

Leaps Of Faith

However I can’t ignore the leaps of faith when it comes to candidate preference polls in this election.

There Are Limits

In other words there are limits to the conclusions to be drawn from political polling.

Bob Davis Podcast Coverage Of Election 2020

Certainly this has been the subject of more than one political podcast this year.

Battleground State Review Series

Consequently it’s time for another review of the polls in the battleground states.

Even more paying special attention to balancing breathless predictions about ‘who’s going to win’.

Too Many Factors For Predictions

Most importantly there are too many factors to consider a prediction about the outcome of the vote in these battleground states.

But That Doesn’t Stop The Media

In addition it sure looks to me like media is jumping the gun. Again.

And in a world where everything one candidate does is right a proper and everything the other does is wrong and misguided, I am not surprised.

Non Partisan. No Attacks. No Defense.

Finally I don’t seek to defend or attack either mainline party candidate.

Blind Spot

Instead I point out a significant blind spot with almost all media in the United States in this election year.

Don’t Know What Will Happen November 3rd

In conclusion we don’t know what the outcome of this election will be. I think it is very difficult to predict given the many moving parts this year.

New Ballot Wrinkles

For example, absentee ballots, early voting and so on.

Balanced Coverage

To sum up I have been producing balanced coverage of these polls. That includes explanations how on they work and their limitations.

Listen to Jumping-The-Gun-On-2020-Bob Davis Podcast 958 for some poll analysis without predictions.

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Jumping-The-Gun-On-2020-Bob Davis Podcast 958

 

 

 

Dumbest-Question-In-Politics-Bob Davis Podcast 944

Impossible To Predict The Future

Most importantly it is impossible to predict the future. However the media insists on trying. Learn more in Dumbest-Question-In-Politics-Bob Davis Podcast 944.

Dumbest Question

Certainly the dumbest question in politics provokes the need for me to do a presidential polling roundup every now and then before election day 2020.

Direct Elections

Firstly on that day voters will be directly voting for congressmen, senators and a range of local officials.

Electoral College Chooses Our President

Secondly voters will cast a vote for the president but they won’t be directly voting for the president. That’s the job of the electoral college.

Who Chooses The President?

We hold individual state and territorial elections. Electors chosen in each state actually choose the president. Therefore we have a geographic component to our elections. That’s key.

Battleground!

Due to this unique feature of our presidential elections it comes down to so called ‘battleground’ or ‘swing’ states.

Answering The Dumbest Question In Politics Is Nearly Impossible

Therefore answering the dumbest question in politics is almost impossible. Details in Dumbest-Question-In-Politics-Bob Davis Podcast 944.

What Matters In Election Coverage

In short that is why I do these podcasts detailing the most recent polls from each election’s ‘battleground’ states. Because at the end of the day, these are the states that matter.

Up For Grabs

Even more this month’s round up again shows the 2020 election is up for grabs, not already decided.

Wild Predictions Waste Your Time

Above all the media’s penchant for answering the dumbest question in politics produces wild predictions about the outcomes. Basically if you want your guy to win, you’d better go to work because it’s far from decided.

Current Polls

In conclusion if you want a discussion of what the current polls show without allegiance to a candidate or cause, I am your guy.

Pluralities

That is to say things are still close in key states. To clarify, victories will probably be by pluralities rather than majorities.

No Matter What They Say…It’s Still Impossible To Predict

Finally that makes the election of 2020, if it is held at at all, impossible to predict.

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Dumbest-Question-In-Politics-Bob Davis Podcast 944

Pandemic-Finally-Kills-Conservatism-Bob Davis Podcast 912

Uncertainty Rules The News

These days you don’t know what the news will bring. Furthermore the latest spate of shoot-from-the-hip fixes take the cake. Learn more in Pandemic-Finally-Kills-Conservatism-Bob Davis Podcast 912.

Pandemic Podcast Series

In addition I’ve been doing a series of podcasts on reactions to the virus.

Old Political World Already Dead

First of all the left-right political spectrum is out of date.

Conservative Versus Liberal? Get Real

Consequently, conservative versus liberal doesn’t even begin to describe what we’re dealing with.

Minimizer In Chief Suddenly Worried

Even more President Trump minimized what became a pandemic from the start. As a result, his supporters parroted what he said with gusto.

Trump went from pointing fingers and calling Coronavirus a hoax, to cowed in one day!

Learn why in Pandemic-Finally-Kills-Conservatism-Bob Davis Podcast 912.

Losing Their Principles For Trump

Conservatives believe in Limited Government or personal freedom, Economic Freedom the US Constitution and above all a debt free future. Moreover the right wing hates deficit spending, the Federal Reserve and Executive Overreach?

Trump Shifts

And yet in a few hours President Trump abandoned conservatives! He proposed a series of policy ideas that should have former and current democratic presidential candidates claiming copyright infringement!

Checks, Deficits, Bail Outs

Especially relevant, perhaps two thousand dollar checks for every American. A trillion dollar bail out package on top of a trillion dollar deficit just for 2020 and 23 trillion in public debt. Using the military. Shutting down private businesses.

Threatening The Federal Reserve Chair

In addition, the president threatened to fire the Federal Reserve Chair because interest rates weren’t being cut far enough, fast enough.

Wall Street Response

Finally the response from Wall Street isn’t good.

Investors want to see the president leading the government to take real action to address a growing crisis.

Never Waste A Crisis

In conclusion, it’s time for questions about the future of the republican party and this president. Remember those Obama Era Memes about not wasting a crisis?

Now they’re being applied to ‘conservatives’.

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Pandemic-Finally-Kills-Conservatism-Bob Davis Podcast 912