Podcast 541

Podcast 541. Electoral College Yoga. Get ready to twist your brain into pretzel like shapes as I talk about the electoral college, polls, and what the benchmarks for Election 2016 are so far. I’ll do another benchmark in about a month and one just before the election in late October, or early November. There are a lot of caveats on polling data. While most media people and their viewers seem to want to talk about national presidential preference polls, the proof of the pudding is in the state by state polls. The United States does not elect its presidents with a national vote. In fact, a presidential election is fifty state elections. Voters are selecting a slate of electors, chosen and voting generally according to state law and state party rules. So when you hear one candidate is ‘ahead’ over another in a national poll it really doesn’t mean anything. In 2008 and again in 2012 Republicans in particular were so hopeful based on national preference polls that if you said McCain or Mitt Romney wasn’t going to win, you were ‘raining on the parade’. But, if you looked closely at state polls in those election cycles, the outcome was not a surprise. State polls have their own problems; Smaller sample size, different polling methodologies, and in some states they are no polls until just before the election. While its not advisable to compare different polls of different sources and methodologies, we do it all the time. We’re looking for trends primarily. Currently while Donald J. Trump leads Hillary Clinton in a national presidential preference poll, the state polls tell a completely different story. It’s not a good story for republicans. The case isn’t closed. Trump still has time, but time is fleeting. I don’t support any candidate. I’m not working for any candidate. I’m not going to tell you how to vote. I’m also not going to spin the polling data to make you think something can happen, or is going to happen. If you want the straight talk on what’s going on, the Bob Davis Podcasts is the place to check back for these benchmark state-by-state analyses as we progress to Election Day 2016. Sponsored by Karow Contracting and Ryan Plumbing and Heating of Saint Paul.

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Podcast 511-Bob Davis Podcasts Radio Show-30

Podcast 511-Bob Davis Podcasts Radio Show-30. This week marked the last primaries of the 2016 presidential preference primary season. With primaries in New Jersey, Montana, New Mexico, California and South Dakota there were a lot of choices when it comes to Mobile Podcast Command, covering the final primaries, in Podcast 511-Bob Davis Podcasts Radio Show-30. I decided to spend the last day in the primary season in Deadwood South Dakota. Rolling into town around midnight on June 7th, seeing all the casinos, I thought, “I don’t know about this”. After spending the night in an RV Park, I was having my morning coffee the next day when an old friend messaged me. “Guess what? I moved to Deadwood”. Enter Brad and Laurie, not so amateur historians with a boatload of information about Deadwood’s history, how it is today and it’s people. Plus we got some ‘man on the street’ interviews with people who had just voted. This week also marked the beginnings of the efforts to discredit New York Developer and ‘presumptive’ republican nominee Donald Trump. It’s death by a thousand cuts as he is attacked alternately as a racist, or fascist. Beware of what the media says, and who says it. I believe there is another shoe yet to drop in this race, and it may drop in Cleveland at the Republican convention this summer. Democrats are not to be outdone with intrigue. As Bernie Sanders continues his fight to the final primary in Washington DC (a territory of the United States by the way, not a state), we shall see whether the much vaunted democratic unity emerges. Sit back and enjoy this week in review, as we post Podcast 511-Bob Davis Podcasts Radio Show-30. Sponsored by Hydrus Performance and Brush Studio in The West End, Saint Louis Park.(Editor’s Note: Here again I refer to the Homestake mine as the Homestead mine. It’s Homestake.)

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Podcast 510

Final Primary Vote in Deadwood. We began coverage of the 2016 presidential preference primary season way back in summer of 2015, picking up the campaign trail in late January in Iowa, onto South Carolina, south to Florida, Texas and the south. It seems fitting to end primary 2016 coverage in a place no mainstream media will be on June 7th, 2016. South Dakota. Specifically, Deadwood, South Dakota; from Gold Rush to Wild Bill, to today’s gambling and tourism, Deadwood is representative of South Dakota west of the Missouri river, dominated by hills, mining and ranching. East of the Missouri, it’s all about farming and some great small cities, like Sioux Falls. South Dakota is the 17th largest state in size, but only boasts roughly 860,000 residents. As one of the people interviewed in Deadwood said on this podcast, “We’re not going to decide anything, but that’s ok”. My friend Brad Butturff retired to Deadwood recently. Over the years he has become quite the authority on this small city in the hills and is a font of knowledge about it. Brad joins me on this podcast, from the sidewalk in front of his home in the presidential section of Deadwood. We spent the day talking about the area’s rich history, took a tour of the historic Adams House in Deadwood, and visited a polling place. All in all, a great way to spend the final day of an uproarious, unpredictable and thoroughly depressing election, so far. But, after all, tomorrow is another day. Sponsored by X Government Cars and Ryan Plumbing and Heating of Saint Paul. (Editor’s Note: I refer to the Homestake mine as Homestead mine. This is a throwback from my time in Pittsburgh where there is a Homestead neighborhood.)

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