Mania For Biden Landslide
Above all as you know political polls don’t have a set schedule for release. With all the mania for a Biden Landslide lately plus the release of new polls it is time again to update my most recent podcast on polls in battleground states. We do it in Landslide-Mania-Updating-Polls-Bob Davis Podcast 936.
Updates When Conditions Change
Firstly when you do a podcast based on current events you have to be prepared for updates when conditions change.
Biden Leading In Some Battlegrounds
I think most importantly for the President, Joe Biden is taking the lead.
Parsing Key Polls
Therefore I will go through the key polls in the key states.
Arizona, Texas, North Carolina and Florida
Never Predict Outcomes
Certainly my approach is not to attach myself to outcomes or process. In the same vein it really bothers me to see commentators predicting certain outcomes.
Four Months Is A Long Time
In addition these polls show movement over time. Further we don’t know what might happen to benefit either candidate in the next four months. Think of how many things changed since the pandemic began just a short while ago.
Trump Running Uphill
But it is fair to say these polls strongly suggest President Trump is facing uphill battles in key electoral states.
Stringing Together Lights In The Dark
Finally I don’t like doing two of these kinds of podcasts in a row. However it is necessary to drive home the point the political landscape as measured by modern polling is a moving target. That is the whole point of Podcast 935, and Landslide-Mania-Updating-Polls-Bob Davis Podcast 936.
Landslide or Nail Biter. Take Your Pick
Potentially False Hope For Democrats and Pollsters
Not only do they give potentially false hope for democrats. Likewise they create the impression the polls are infallible predictors.
And of course if the ground shifts, I’ll call it as I see it.
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Landslide-Mania-Updating-Polls-Bob Davis Podcast 936