Media-Distorts-Poll-Results-Again-Bob Davis Podcast 932

Media Back To Its Old Tricks

Firstly the media is back to its old tricks. They are showing a shocking level of ignorance when it comes to political polls. Learn in Media-Distorts-Poll-Results-Again-Bob Davis Podcast 932.

Predicting The Future. Again.

Secondly we should be suspicious of a media with a penchant for predicting the future.

No Partisan Coverage of Election 2020 Here

More importantly I have avoided partisan criticism of the president. In addition I have refused to engage in the same kind of misinformation when it comes to potential presidential candidates. Now you understand why.

No Partisan Issue Advocacy Here Either

Moreover I refuse to advocate for partisan issues or tell listeners and subscribers what to think.

Political Polling Coverage

Therefore I am starting my political coverage of presidential polling for 2020.

State By State Reports

To clarify from time to time I will do some podcasts discussing recent polling on a state by state basis.

Ignorant Story Lines

Truth is, the story lines being created now may or may not be the eventual result. I’ll explain why in Media-Distorts-Poll-Results-Again-Bob Davis Podcast 932.

All About The Electoral Vote

Even more we choose our presidents through the electoral college. We do not vote directly for the office of president in the United States.This reality forces presidential campaigns to develop electoral strategies.

Divided? Really?

Above all we keep hearing how the United States has become a ‘divided’ country. It’s the Blue States against the Red States.

County By County Vote Totals

But county by county vote totals show the votes are often ‘blue’ or ‘red’ by pluralities, not majorities.

National Presidential Polls Are Useless

Finally citing national popularity polls, presidential job approval polls, or even national political preference is little more than a waste of time.

Another Close Contest, So Far…

In conclusion, the 2020 presidential race at this time looks like another close contest. Unless that reality changes it’s going to come down to some key states.

Still Not A Lot Of Polling Data For Battleground States

Meanwhile polling data is not available for all the so called battleground states.

Fantasy Reporting

In short don’t believe everything you hear.

(Editor’s Note: I refer to both candidates running as ‘presidents’. Obviously I meant President Trump and former Vice President Biden. In addition at the time of recording of this podcast  results of the Iowa US Senate Primary had not been released. Due to this, no polls were available on the race. The primary was held on June 2nd, 2020. I said no democrat had yet been selected in the Iowa US Senate Race, which includes Senator Joni Ernst as the republican incumbent. This was true at the time. Now Ernst has a democratic opponent. For the results go here.)

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Media-Distorts-Poll-Results-Again-Bob Davis Podcast 932

 

Trump-Democrats-Ruin-Thanksgiving-Christmas-Bob Davis Podcast 865

Toxic

I don’t think it matters where you come down on the process of impeaching Donald Trump. What’s especially relevant is the fact that the media has been praying for this. Due to this, politics will only continue to permeate our culture. Has it reached terminal toxicity? One can only hope. Learn more in Trump-Democrats-Ruin-Thanksgiving-Christmas-Bob Davis Podcast 865.

Live From My Garage

I did not want to do an overtly political podcast about this nonsense in Washington. So come with me to run some errands and we’ll talk about it, as we go live from my two garages.

High Crimes Expertise

Even more I wasn’t on the call with the President of the Ukraine, so I don’t know what was said. Sure I can read the so called ‘transcript’ but I’m not an expert when it comes to high crimes. What about you?

Run Its Course

Consequently whether you see what is going on now in Washington as the Democratic Campaign for the Presidency or a Witch Hunt, this thing has to run its course. Unfortunately.

Not Going Away

Certainly this whole thing isn’t going away anytime soon. Find out why in Trump-Democrats-Ruin-Thanksgiving-Christmas-Bob Davis Podcast 865

Ruining Christmas and Thanksgiving

Therefore prepare to have your crazy uncle Joe and your Brother In Law ruin Thanksgiving and Christmas this year.

Latin America Style Corruption

As far as I am concerned and above all, I have come to the conclusion that the United States Government is pretty well shot through with corruption, legal and illegal.

For Some Time

Furthermore I can make the case this has been true for some time.

Government Too Powerful

It’s all due to the growth of government power we the people have allowed.

Shut Down Santa and Mrs Claus?

Who wants to shut down Santa Claus?

Perfumed Princes In Washington DC

Consequently I won’t be breathlessly relating the latest development in the impeachment saga, attacking or defending the president or any of these other perfumed princes and princesses in the capitol.

Cancer

Finally my biggest concern is how these kinds of issues spread to our screens like a cancer.

Battlegrounds

My own analysis of the president’s current approval ratings in battleground states is key.

All Bets Are Off

The democrats may have had the president in 2020 in those battlegrounds. Too bad for them. Now all bets are off.

Gossip Is News

Maybe someday the American People will turn away from this constant barrage of political gossip. Don’t hold your breath, though.

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Trump-Democrats-Ruin-Thanksgiving-Christmas-Bob Davis Podcast 865


 

 

 

Toss Up House Elections 2018-Part 1-Bob Davis Podcast 753

Every two years the entire US House of Representatives has to run for election. The predictions of the prognosticators concerning these elections are most noteworthy. The sages say as many as 58 republican seats are in jeopardy. We’ll find out in a series of podcasts that examine each of these house races in detail. Toss Up House Elections 2018-Part 1-Bob Davis Podcast 753.

Predictions Are Dangerous

I hate predictions, Moreover I find while the media loves to ‘nationalize’ house and senate elections most of the time they turn on local issues not the national issues. One of the reasons predictions are often be wrong.

Especially relevant, so many of these races are considered toss ups.

Calibrating The Crystal Ball

There’s only way to determine whether men staring into crystal balls can predict the future. You have to examine each district one at a time.

In part one we look at several districts in California, Colorado, and Florida. More are on the way.

Travel Makes Great Political Analysis

I am happy to say I have been to many of these districts in Mobile Podcast Command. ‘Just passing through’ doesn’t give you some gift for the truth but it does help to visualize. Because I travel I have additional knowledge that is invaluable when it comes to understanding what’s going on in some of these elections.

Pivot Counties Are Well…Pivotal

Similarly it helps to have visited to some of the so called ‘Pivot Counties‘ and to have traveled through areas these guys on TV probably have not seen recently, if ever. It all adds up to the realization that all politics really is local.

New Political Environment?

Because I traveled in 2016 I was able to to realize early on something different was brewing. I think we’re still in a new political environment. All the more reason not to avoid the tarot card readers on TV. Listen to Toss Up House Elections 2018-Part 1-Bob Davis Podcast 753 instead.

No Predictions Just Information And a Baseline For You

While I won’t predict anything in 2018 I think it is fair to say we’re in a new environment politically in which almost anything can happen. Moreover whatever is happening may not show up in polls and primary election data.

Isn’t that what makes watching the outcome so much fun?

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Toss Up House Elections 2018-Part 1-Bob Davis Podcast 753