Mistakes-Final Polls-Bob Davis Podcast 961

Dumb Mistakes

Most important thing to do to avoid dumb mistakes?  Be present. Learn more in Mistakes-Final Polls-Bob Davis Podcast 961.

Final Poll Rundown

Secondly I had to stop and run down the final polls before this fiasco ends. Or not.

Nomad Mindset Engaged

Certainly I have a lot going on in my mind. Even more when traveling. Double it if you’re a nomad.

Easy To Make Dumb Mistakes

As a result there is always a point where it’s easy for me to make a dumb mistake.

Early In The Trip

Above all these mistakes happen early in the trip or when I am preoccupied.

The Green Pump

Firstly this particular mistake has to do with the green pump for diesel as opposed to gasoline. I’ll tell you more in Mistakes-Final Polls-Bob Davis Podcast 961.

Final State By State Polls

In addition after a major delay to address my mistake I have to do a final poll run down before the election on November 3rd.

Getting Extra In This Podcast

Consequently this podcast is a little extra. Longer. Some observations about life on the road and mistakes and a run down of the polls.

Pollsters and the Reporters Who Love Them

In the same vein you know how I feel about polling and media coverage this year. If you don’t click here.

Dangerous Predictions

Certainly people are taking liberties and making predictions polling should not be used for.

It’s All Been Worked Out

As a result many people are under the impression this has all been worked out.

Nothing Has Been Worked Out

In fact nothing has been worked out.

Pick A Direction

Finally you’ll learn in Dumb-Mistakes-Final Polls-Bob Davis Podcast 961 that Election 2020 can really go any number of directions.

Up Late

To sum up if you do watch election coverage on November 3rd you might be up late.

My Election Coverage Ends Where It Started

In conclusion it all started for me in 2020 in Iowa covering the caucus campaigns.

Fairfield Iowa

Therefore I will end my coverage of this insane election in Fairfield Iowa.

More in the next podcast

Sponsored by Kim Nybo State Farm Insurance

Mistakes-Final Polls-Bob Davis Podcast 961

Jumping-The-Gun-On-2020-Bob Davis Podcast 958

Jumping The Gun Again?

First of all they’re jumping the gun again. Learn more in Jumping-The-Gun-On-2020-Bob Davis Podcast 958.

Secondly I don’t care who wins the presidential election in 2020.

Leaps Of Faith

However I can’t ignore the leaps of faith when it comes to candidate preference polls in this election.

There Are Limits

In other words there are limits to the conclusions to be drawn from political polling.

Bob Davis Podcast Coverage Of Election 2020

Certainly this has been the subject of more than one political podcast this year.

Battleground State Review Series

Consequently it’s time for another review of the polls in the battleground states.

Even more paying special attention to balancing breathless predictions about ‘who’s going to win’.

Too Many Factors For Predictions

Most importantly there are too many factors to consider a prediction about the outcome of the vote in these battleground states.

But That Doesn’t Stop The Media

In addition it sure looks to me like media is jumping the gun. Again.

And in a world where everything one candidate does is right a proper and everything the other does is wrong and misguided, I am not surprised.

Non Partisan. No Attacks. No Defense.

Finally I don’t seek to defend or attack either mainline party candidate.

Blind Spot

Instead I point out a significant blind spot with almost all media in the United States in this election year.

Don’t Know What Will Happen November 3rd

In conclusion we don’t know what the outcome of this election will be. I think it is very difficult to predict given the many moving parts this year.

New Ballot Wrinkles

For example, absentee ballots, early voting and so on.

Balanced Coverage

To sum up I have been producing balanced coverage of these polls. That includes explanations how on they work and their limitations.

Listen to Jumping-The-Gun-On-2020-Bob Davis Podcast 958 for some poll analysis without predictions.

Sponsored by Kim Nybo State Farm Insurance and LaCroix Law Real Estate Attorneys

Jumping-The-Gun-On-2020-Bob Davis Podcast 958

 

 

 

Dumbest-Question-In-Politics-Bob Davis Podcast 944

Impossible To Predict The Future

Most importantly it is impossible to predict the future. However the media insists on trying. Learn more in Dumbest-Question-In-Politics-Bob Davis Podcast 944.

Dumbest Question

Certainly the dumbest question in politics provokes the need for me to do a presidential polling roundup every now and then before election day 2020.

Direct Elections

Firstly on that day voters will be directly voting for congressmen, senators and a range of local officials.

Electoral College Chooses Our President

Secondly voters will cast a vote for the president but they won’t be directly voting for the president. That’s the job of the electoral college.

Who Chooses The President?

We hold individual state and territorial elections. Electors chosen in each state actually choose the president. Therefore we have a geographic component to our elections. That’s key.

Battleground!

Due to this unique feature of our presidential elections it comes down to so called ‘battleground’ or ‘swing’ states.

Answering The Dumbest Question In Politics Is Nearly Impossible

Therefore answering the dumbest question in politics is almost impossible. Details in Dumbest-Question-In-Politics-Bob Davis Podcast 944.

What Matters In Election Coverage

In short that is why I do these podcasts detailing the most recent polls from each election’s ‘battleground’ states. Because at the end of the day, these are the states that matter.

Up For Grabs

Even more this month’s round up again shows the 2020 election is up for grabs, not already decided.

Wild Predictions Waste Your Time

Above all the media’s penchant for answering the dumbest question in politics produces wild predictions about the outcomes. Basically if you want your guy to win, you’d better go to work because it’s far from decided.

Current Polls

In conclusion if you want a discussion of what the current polls show without allegiance to a candidate or cause, I am your guy.

Pluralities

That is to say things are still close in key states. To clarify, victories will probably be by pluralities rather than majorities.

No Matter What They Say…It’s Still Impossible To Predict

Finally that makes the election of 2020, if it is held at at all, impossible to predict.

Sponsored by Tim LaCroix Real Estate Law

Dumbest-Question-In-Politics-Bob Davis Podcast 944