Media-Distorts-Poll-Results-Again-Bob Davis Podcast 932

Media Back To Its Old Tricks

Firstly the media is back to its old tricks. They are showing a shocking level of ignorance when it comes to political polls. Learn in Media-Distorts-Poll-Results-Again-Bob Davis Podcast 932.

Predicting The Future. Again.

Secondly we should be suspicious of a media with a penchant for predicting the future.

No Partisan Coverage of Election 2020 Here

More importantly I have avoided partisan criticism of the president. In addition I have refused to engage in the same kind of misinformation when it comes to potential presidential candidates. Now you understand why.

No Partisan Issue Advocacy Here Either

Moreover I refuse to advocate for partisan issues or tell listeners and subscribers what to think.

Political Polling Coverage

Therefore I am starting my political coverage of presidential polling for 2020.

State By State Reports

To clarify from time to time I will do some podcasts discussing recent polling on a state by state basis.

Ignorant Story Lines

Truth is, the story lines being created now may or may not be the eventual result. I’ll explain why in Media-Distorts-Poll-Results-Again-Bob Davis Podcast 932.

All About The Electoral Vote

Even more we choose our presidents through the electoral college. We do not vote directly for the office of president in the United States.This reality forces presidential campaigns to develop electoral strategies.

Divided? Really?

Above all we keep hearing how the United States has become a ‘divided’ country. It’s the Blue States against the Red States.

County By County Vote Totals

But county by county vote totals show the votes are often ‘blue’ or ‘red’ by pluralities, not majorities.

National Presidential Polls Are Useless

Finally citing national popularity polls, presidential job approval polls, or even national political preference is little more than a waste of time.

Another Close Contest, So Far…

In conclusion, the 2020 presidential race at this time looks like another close contest. Unless that reality changes it’s going to come down to some key states.

Still Not A Lot Of Polling Data For Battleground States

Meanwhile polling data is not available for all the so called battleground states.

Fantasy Reporting

In short don’t believe everything you hear.

(Editor’s Note: I refer to both candidates running as ‘presidents’. Obviously I meant President Trump and former Vice President Biden. In addition at the time of recording of this podcast results of the Iowa US Senate Primary had not been released. Due to this, no polls were available on the race. The primary was held on June 2nd, 2020. I said no democrat had yet been selected in the Iowa US Senate Race, which includes Senator Joni Ernst as the republican incumbent. This was true at the time. Now Ernst has a democratic opponent. For the results go here.)

Sponsored by 36LYN Independent Fueling Station In The Lyn Lake Neighborhood in Minneapolis

Media-Distorts-Poll-Results-Again-Bob Davis Podcast 932

Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 36:55 — 84.5MB) | Embed

Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | RSS

2020-Stealth-Battleground-Issues-Bob Davis Podcast 883

2020 Issues In The Midwest

I promised a more details about battleground political issues in the last podcast. Seems like no one wants to focus on the real issues in the Midwest. Time to do that in 2020-Stealth-Battleground-Issues-Bob Davis Podcast 883.

Battleground States No One on TV Ever Goes To

Even more you hear a lot about the so called ‘battleground states‘. In contrast all the reporting is about Washington DC!

BackRoads

Consequently I decided to take a trip across America’s Heartland. On Back Roads. Click here for those podcasts.

Sick Of The News

First of all if people I talked to said they were sick and tired of political news.

War Weariness

The most noteworthy conclusion of this podcast might end up being ‘war weariness’ when it comes to politics.

Same Song Over and Over

Seems like political news coverage is becoming like that song you hear on the radio over and over again. It used to be your favorite but if you hear it one more time, you’re going to scream.

Stealth Issues In The Heartland

Especially relevant are several ‘stealth’ issues across the heartland.

Prosperity

What’s the definition of ‘prosperity‘?

Right To Work

What about National Right To Work movements, versus Unions in key states.

Foreign Direct Investment and Trade Issues

In addition many jobs are being provided by Foreign Direct Investment. And by Foreign companies manufacturing in the US.

Jobs

Then, maybe there are more jobs, but what kinds of jobs?

Feeling Prosperous As Good As Being Prosperous?

That said, a job means you can pay rent and buy something for yourself. Regardless of what pundits might regard sub par. Back to that feeling of prosperity which might be just as important as being prosperous for some. Learn more in 2020-Stealth-Battleground-Issues-Bob Davis Podcast 883.

Development In The Midwest and Mid South Changing Electorate

Finally development in the mid south and Midwest means smaller cities are becoming larger cities. That means pressure to turn state roads into freeways, freeways into interstates.

Corporate Farming

Also what about the emergence of corporate farming as opposed to family farms?

Decay In Old Downtown Areas

Moreover there are many examples of what happens when the new freeway goes through, and local businesses are left to die.

Government Handing Out Subsidies

Most important is growth created by US Government spending and subsidies. Not just in big urban centers but on the farm and in small towns too.

Health Insurance

Think people can afford 1600 dollars a month for health insurance when they’re working hourly jobs? A gifted politician will not miss this opportunity.

Obsessed With Washington DC

A lot of this is just below the surface. The media is obsessed with twitter and hearing rooms in the Capitol. This year’s election might be too close to call right now. What they miss might have powerful and unexpected effects in the 2020 election.

Sponsored by Ryan Plumbing and Heating of Saint Paul

2020-Stealth-Battleground-Issues-Bob Davis Podcast 883

Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 36:32 — 83.6MB) | Embed

Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | RSS

Recession-Warning-Media-Confusion-Bob Davis Podcast 855

What Is All This Talk About Recession

These days it’s hard to tell who to believe. In many ways it’s the best economy ever. The best time to look for a job. An unprecedented economic boom. Why is everyone suddenly talking about a recession. Learn more in Recession-Warning-Media-Confusion-Bob Davis Podcast 855.

Not Making Predictions

First of all I am not here to tell you the economy is in the tank, or that it is booming.

Recession! Depression! Do I have Your Attention Now?

Truth is if you put the words recession, bust, or depression in an article you’re going to get people’s attention. In addition it doesn’t hurt to have a couple of historic drops in the stock market.

Now that I have your attention…Listen to Recession-Warning-Media-Confusion-Bob Davis Podcast 855.

Market Drops and Yield Curves Mean New Media Story Lines

It doesn’t matter if the markets recover from those drops.

What matters is now the media has a story line that predicts doom and destruction.

Fool’s Errand

Especially relevant is a lesson I learned a long time ago. It doesn’t matter how well informed a commentator might be. Making predictions about a force of nature like the world’s largest economy, is a fool’s errand.

Shallow Expansion, Debt and Slowing Growth

Even more, it is true our economy is growing and we are enjoying the longest economic expansion in memory. It’s also true it’s a shallow expansion and that growth just above the inflation line, isn’t really booming. Moreover, the expansion is getting pretty long in the tooth, as the say.

There Is A Season

In contrast like the seasons, economies operate on a cycle. Truth is anyone who predicts a recession will ultimately be right. Just like fall into winter recessions have a purpose. Economic contractions kill off the weak plants and animals and insects so the strong and grow again in the spring.

So when the yield curve inverts and the market drops it is certainly worth paying attention.

Seems like we’re missing something though. While the politicians and talking heads trade insults about who’s predictions are right, what are we thinking about?

Election Year Economics

In conclusion what plans to we the people have for the future economy of the United States. I sat down to do a podcast on the yield curve, claims about unemployment and recession predictions. I ended up with an essay on the pitfalls of talking economy in an election year, the ballyhoo on the current economy when the real questions aren’t even being asked. Let alone answered.

It’s 1950 In America…Coal Mines and Manufacturing, right?

Where are we going? What are we trying to accomplish? What kind of economy do we expect in the future. Is it really manufacturing jobs in Ohio and Coal Mines in West Virginia?

Sponsored by Ryan Plumbing and Heating of Saint Paul and Reliafund Payment Processors

Recession-Warning-Media-Confusion-Bob Davis Podcast 855

Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 29:17 — 67.0MB) | Embed

Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | RSS