Art-Of-Politics-Polling-Prediction-Bob Davis Podcast 935

Updating Current Political Polls

Firstly Art-Of-Politics-Polling-Prediction-Bob Davis Podcast 935 is part of a series of podcasts updating current polls for 2020.

No Blanket Statements

Secondly I tend to avoid blanket statements when it comes to political polls.

Politics is An Art

Finally I believe despite all the technology we have politics is still an art.

No Silver Bullet For Predictions

Even more there is no application or spreadsheet that can ‘predict’ an outcome based on polls.

Probabilities

In short we can only look at probabilities.

Snapshots

Polls are snapshots in real time.

Shocking Confusion When It Comes To Polls

Meanwhile pundits and commentators continue to display a shocking confusion when it comes to understanding political polling.

Out and Out Bias

Most importantly some are ‘in the tank’ for one or the other candidate.

National Polls A Disservice To Supporters of Both Candidates

Consequently all of this political chatter and predictions does a disservice to supporters of all candidates.

Your Own Reality Check

On the other hand what if I can show you how to do your own reality check on your smart phone whenever you hear some wild prediction of a ‘landslide’ for either candidate.

That’s what Art-Of-Politics-Polling-Prediction-Bob Davis Podcast 935 is all about.

Still All About Showing Up

In conclusion if we have learned anything over the years, it is politics still belongs to those who show up.

State By State Battleground

Working hard down to the election is always the best approach. National polls are useless as the popular vote does not determine the presidency in the US.

Stay With The Bob Davis Podcasts

To sum up stay with me for a clear eyed view of the state by state polling results so that you’re not shocked and surprised on election night. Anything is possible, but right now it’s still a close race.

(Editor’s Note: As I recorded this podcast new polls were being released and results uploaded. As of the date of this post, the new polls have not changed my conclusion that 2020 will be close based on tight races in battleground states. I’ll do another podcast after the next spate of polls and we’ll see how things change. The good news is, if you listen to this podcast you’ll know how to update yourself when new polls come out.)

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Art-Of-Politics-Polling-Prediction-Bob Davis Podcast 935

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National-Delusion-Delirium-Pick-One-Bob Davis Podcast 933

Delusion Or Delirium. Pick One.

Certainly it feels like we’re living in a national delusion or we’re delirious. Pick One. Learn more in National-Delusion-Delirium-Pick-One-Bob Davis Podcast 933.

The Matrix?

Even more I might even forgive you for invoking The Matrix as a metaphor!

What Triggered This Podcast?

Firstly I don’t even remember the thought process that lead to this question.

Delusion and Delirium Defined

Secondly you can find the definitions for what Delusion is here, and for Delirium here.

A Confused and Disturbed Nation

Most importantly I think our country fits the bill for both right now.

Plenty Of Examples Worthy Of Your Attention

For example a pandemic triggered economic suicide worldwide, people climbing the walls in isolation, protests morphing into rioting and violence. In addition, ridiculous comments, outrageous explanations and mass confusion.

Our World Has Become Dali Work

Consequently I forgive the reader, listener and subscriber to bring up The Matrix. However I prefer Salvador Dali.

So, I’ll explain what I mean by a national delusion in National-Delusion-Delirium-Pick-One-Bob Davis Podcast 933.

Causes Of Our Acutely Disturbed Collective Mind

Moreover I’ll provide several examples of the potential cause of our acutely disturbed state of mind.

Social Media, Covid Psychosis, Propaganda and Conspiracy Theories

For instance, the peculiar Algorithms of social media. Or the real possibility Covid19 infections are less symptomatic and producing dangerous psychological reactions. And finally rapidly proliferating propaganda and conspiracy theories everywhere you look.

Our Worries

And If these aren’t enough to tip the scales, add to that our collective worry about our financial futures.

Don’t Look Now…

In conclusion a question and reference to the potential for a major financial meltdown.

Long Hot Summer

In short our ability to handle another major shock in this country is dependent on the clarity of our thinking. If we’re all delusional or delirious we’re in for a long hot summer.

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National-Delusion-Delirium-Pick-One-Bob Davis Podcast 933

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Covid-Chaos-Denial-Observations-Bob Davis Podcast 914

Welcome To Covid Crisis Denial

Seems like the whole world has gone crazy doesn’t it? Time for an easy talker about the Covid Crisis Denial. In addition some thoughts on the future. Learn more in Covid-Chaos-Denial-Observations-Bob Davis Podcast 914.

Podcast Series

I’ve produced a whole series of podcasts listeners are still getting caught up on. Click here for all of them.

The Politics of Panic

Podcast 910 on the politics of panic is especially relevant.

Loss Of Conservative Political Principals

Even more, podcast 912 details the breakdown of conservative principles in the face of fear.

Hey Dad, What’s an Economic Breakdown?

Finally there’s podcast 913. How could the world economy might break down and what might be done about it, even if that’s the wrong thing to do.

Additional Thoughts and Observations

Covid-Chaos-Denial-Observations-Bob Davis Podcast 914 consolidates some thoughts and observations from the earlier podcasts in the series.

What I have Not Said

I certainly will tell you in this podcast what I have not said in the series.

So Far Very Little Bloviating

I think it’s most noteworthy that I have not bloviated on medical and statistical explanations the way some media charlatans have. On the other hand I will share some stories.

Details On Spreading Dread

In conclusion the second half of this podcast explores some of the details about the spread of Coronavirus and the potential economic effects. One of the things I’ve noticed is despite the tools we have, many people are at a loss when it comes to fact checking what is being said.

I’d like To Order A Miracle Please

Above all I will say that I believe we are just at the beginning of a nationwide crisis only a miracle will save us from.

As I have said from the get go…Time Will Tell

(Editor’s Note: This is obviously a fast moving story. Every now and then I misspeak or get a fact wrong. It really bothers me when I do, especially when it comes to arithmetic or something I should have known. I apologize for those mistakes in advance. I think right now, it’s better to get the content up than to be worried about everything being exactly right. On the other hand I’m pretty confident of my observations in general.)

Covid-Chaos-Denial-Observations-Bob Davis Podcast 914

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