Republicans Hate Polls…Unless They Show Trump In The Lead
There’s so much bias these days on every media platform there’s no trust. A conversation with a republican friend lead to this podcast about whether polls lie. Find out more by listening to Trumpers-Think-Political-Polls-Lie-Bob Davis Podcast 862.
Who Did The Poll?
First of all when it comes to polling, the first question a republican will ask is, “Who did the poll”. Especially if it reflects poorly on the president. In addition their second favorite response is, “No One Called Me”. Gah!
What Poll Will You Accept?
In contrast I wonder, “What poll would you accept?“.
Polling Explained. Again.
It’s time again to explain polling and the potential for a republican win or loss in 2020.
No bias or predictions. Just the lay of the land.
Accept and Consider Information Challenging Your Position
Above all political true believers reject any poll that doesn’t show their guy winning. Even more, political analysis requires accepting and considering information that challenges you.
Approval Ratings 101
In Trumpers-Think-Political-Polls-Lie-Bob Davis Podcast 862 front and center are approval ratings and their ability to predict winners.
Moreover I’ll look at how you can use polls to make solid judgements. I’ll also talk about the history of past elections as a tool.
Polls Don’t Lie … The Media Lies
Not only do I reject the assertion the polls “lie”. When averaged they can be quite predictive.
Unfortunately the wholesale ignorance of polling in our media is especially relevant. For Example, while the polls in 2016 showed a close race for president, they never predicted a Clinton win.
Trump Struggles In The Battleground States
Finally at issue are tracking polls showing the president’s approval rating in battleground states plummeting. With manufacturing reportedly in recession in Wisconsin and Michigan, republican bosses are concerned. They should be. Trump has to win the battleground states to win a second term.
A Republican Siding With The UAW?
Perhaps it is for that reason that the president is rumored to want to intervene in a current GM strike, in favor of the UAW.
History And No Judgements
Therefore this podcast is valuable because it looks at chances for both a landslide as well as a tough race, without judgements and predictions. There’s a lot of information here about past presidential races, the history of polling and approval ratings. It might come in handy.