Trumpers-Think-Political-Polls-Lie-Bob Davis Podcast 862

Republicans Hate Polls…Unless They Show Trump In The Lead

There’s so much bias these days on every media platform there’s no trust. A conversation with a republican friend lead to this podcast about whether polls lie. Find out more by listening to Trumpers-Think-Political-Polls-Lie-Bob Davis Podcast 862.

Who Did The Poll?

First of all when it comes to polling, the first question a republican will ask is, “Who did the poll”. Especially if it reflects poorly on the president. In addition their second favorite response is, “No One Called Me”. Gah!

What Poll Will You Accept?

In contrast I wonder, “What poll would you accept?“.

Polling Explained. Again.

It’s time again to explain polling and the potential for a republican win or loss in 2020.

No bias or predictions. Just the lay of the land.

Accept and Consider Information Challenging Your Position

Above all political true believers reject any poll that doesn’t show their guy winning. Even more, political analysis requires accepting and considering information that challenges you.

Approval Ratings 101

In Trumpers-Think-Political-Polls-Lie-Bob Davis Podcast 862 front and center are approval ratings and their ability to predict winners.

Past Elections

Moreover I’ll look at how you can use polls to make solid judgements. I’ll also talk about the history of past elections as a tool.

Polls Don’t Lie … The Media Lies

Not only do I reject the assertion the polls “lie”. When averaged they can be quite predictive.

Unfortunately the wholesale ignorance of polling in our media is especially relevant. For Example, while the polls in 2016 showed a close race for president, they never predicted a Clinton win.

Trump Struggles In The Battleground States

Finally at issue are tracking polls showing the president’s approval rating in battleground states plummeting. With manufacturing reportedly in recession in Wisconsin and Michigan, republican bosses are concerned. They should be. Trump has to win the battleground states to win a second term.

A Republican Siding With The UAW?

Perhaps it is for that reason that the president is rumored to want to intervene in a current GM strike, in favor of the UAW.

History And No Judgements

Therefore this podcast is valuable because it looks at chances for both a landslide as well as a tough race, without judgements and predictions. There’s a lot of information here about past presidential races, the history of polling and approval ratings. It might come in handy.

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Trumpers-Think-Political-Polls-Lie-Bob Davis Podcast 862

Once-Upon-A-Time-1969-Bob Davis Podcast 856

A Hot August Night In 1969

I’ll be honest. This podcast is a bit of a departure for me. What’s especially relevant? Seems like everything changed on a hot August night in 1969, in Los Angeles. True crime and social commentary come together in Once-Upon-A-Time-1969-Bob Davis Podcast 856.

Brutal Murders and A Turning Point Once-Upon-A-Time-1969

Back in the day, several brutal murders over a weekend in August in Los Angeles formed some kind of turning point.

A Dream Called Life

Sometimes you get in a groove and it seems like things will never change. Life is funny that way. Almost like a dream.

Then, suddenly everything changes.

Fifty Years

It’s been fifty years since the Tate-Labianca murders. We’re just now finally getting a handle on the changes forced in that time period.

Moreover ‘The Summer of Love’ started with Woodstock and ended with Altamont and Charles Manson.

Recreating That Summer In Once-Upon-A-Time-1969

A new film by Quentin Tarantino explores that fateful time period. This podcast is inspired to a degree by the meticulous recreation of 1969 LA in Once Upon A Time In Hollywood.

More Music

I don’t say much in this podcast. That fact might surprise listeners. Truth is, music does a lot of the talking in Once-Upon-A-Time-1969-Bob Davis Podcast 856.

Music did a lot of the talking then too.

All About The Radio

First of all, there was no social media. For the huge younger generation it was all about the radio. Everyone was on the move. Every car had a radio. Somehow it felt like everyone was connected through the music and the radio stations of the time.

Lyrical and Musical Prophecy

One of the great things about the movie is the depiction of the musical subtext. The music and the lyrics told the story, before the story went down.

Summer of Love Ends In Horror

That summer began started with a pristine moment.

It ended with horror and death.

A time when Innocence lived next door to a deep, dark corruption.

(Editor’s Note: Technically the ‘Summer of Love’ was the summer of 1967 in San Francisco. However, in my experience, it generally referred to the whole time period up to Woodstock and the end of the summer of 1969.)

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Once-Upon-A-Time-1969-Bob Davis Podcast 856

Trump Kills Iran Deal-Now What?-Foreign Affairs Update-Podcast 721

President Trump decertified the JCPOA or ‘Iran Deal’ of 2015, on Friday May 11th. Trump has kicked off a firestorm of coverage which has not fully explained what’s going on. Again. Time to find out about the details of the Iran Deal in Trump Kills Iran Deal-Now What?-Foreign Affairs Update-Podcast 721.

Stormy Daniels Sells Newspapers

Moreover coverage of international relations doesn’t usually generate a lot of views, likes or shares. Hence one of the main reasons American media spends a lot of time on salacious stories.

Foreign Policy Isn’t A Campaign Slogan

Furthermore, voters don’t think about these things in election years. Slogans and shouted one liners on the campaign trail get lots of applause from true believers. Build The Wall. Tear Up The Iran Deal. Make America Great Again.

Politicians Make Big Mistakes

Truth is our leaders can make serious mistakes in this arena. Consequently missteps and screw ups can effect all of us for a very long time. Seems like presidents get a lot of support from congress and the people as they blunder about. Therefore, some background some of these mistakes in Time to find out about the details of the Iran Deal in Trump Kills Iran Deal-Now What?-Foreign Affairs Update-Podcast 721.

It’s Not A Treaty

The so called Iran Deal is not even an Executive Agreement, as has been reported. Most noteworthy it is within the president’s discretion to do anything he wants with this agreement. Did Trump ‘kill’ the deal? Is it a mistake? Was Iran violating the terms of the JCPOA?

Constitutional Authority

In addition was it constitutional for President Obama to enter into a political commitment? Did the House endorse elements of the deal? Did the Senate debate the agreement? Find out in Time to find out about the details of the Iran Deal in Trump Kills Iran Deal-Now What?-Foreign Affairs Update-Podcast 721.

Whatever Trump Does Is A Mistake, right?

In conclusion one of the problems with this president is the media’s habit of reacting to anything he does as a mistake. Without defending the president, maybe the specifics should be reported and judgments left to the American people.

Most of all, that’s what I do in this podcast. Find more podcasts on the Iran subject from the campaign trail in 2016, and through the years here.

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Trump Kills Iran Deal-Now What?-Foreign Affairs Update-Podcast 721