Midnight-Lake-Walk-And-Talk-Bob Davis Podcast 948

Midnight Lake Walk and Talk

These days I hate to say it but the election campaigns are shifting into high gear. I’ve been touring the upper Midwest and needed more time by the lake. Learn more in Midnight-Lake-Walk-And-Talk-Bob Davis Podcast 948.

Political Takeaways From My Recent Road Trip

Certainly my road trip to Michigan’s Upper Peninsula and West Coast was for fun. However I saw some things from a political perspective that are worth mentioning.

Politics Losing Its Luster

Most importantly when you’re doing a road trip podcast the political stuff loses it’s luster.

Stumbling Through Woods and The Shore

Therefore I decided to put my observations into another podcast. So join me as I stumble around the lake shore and woods in Midnight-Lake-Walk-And-Talk-Bob Davis Podcast 948.

Here Comes The Campaign

When this week is over the 2020 election campaign will be in full swing.

No Predictions

In addition to the recent podcasts I’ve done about polling I examine this issue of ‘predicting the future’.

Questions About What We’re Being Told

Even more my quick tour through the traditionally democrat and union parts of the Upper Midwest yields some questions about what you are being told these days.

Far From Decided

I was one of the first who noted that Trump could win in 2016. My analysis of the polls so far as well as some detail gleaned from these trips suggest this election is far from decided yet.

Calm Waters Starlight

Finally there’s something about the calm waters and starlight of a late summer midnight.

Put On Your Headphones

If you listen to this podcast with headphones you’ll be right there with me as I walk barefoot. In the dark. Avoiding acorns and other debris. From the fire to the lake and back.

Media and Campaigns Preaching To The Choir

To sum up despite the media’s penchant for predicting the future and preaching to the choir this is not over.

Suddenly A Literal Three Day TV Commercial Is News?

Most importantly think about the irony of how the media covers conventions which used to be deliberative. What is now news is essentially and literally a produced television commercial.

Either Way People Are Gonna Vote

Even so people are going to make up their minds and cast votes in some way in November.

Beware The Deep Impact…Of An Asteroid!

Unless an asteroid produces a deep impact event, just before the election on November 3rd.

Sponsored by Nathan W Nelson Strategic Attorney and Founder of Virtus Law and AuntieBRentals

Midnight-Lake-Walk-And-Talk-Bob Davis Podcast 948

 

Trumpers-Think-Political-Polls-Lie-Bob Davis Podcast 862

Republicans Hate Polls…Unless They Show Trump In The Lead

There’s so much bias these days on every media platform there’s no trust. A conversation with a republican friend lead to this podcast about whether polls lie. Find out more by listening to Trumpers-Think-Political-Polls-Lie-Bob Davis Podcast 862.

Who Did The Poll?

First of all when it comes to polling, the first question a republican will ask is, “Who did the poll”. Especially if it reflects poorly on the president. In addition their second favorite response is, “No One Called Me”. Gah!

What Poll Will You Accept?

In contrast I wonder, “What poll would you accept?“.

Polling Explained. Again.

It’s time again to explain polling and the potential for a republican win or loss in 2020.

No bias or predictions. Just the lay of the land.

Accept and Consider Information Challenging Your Position

Above all political true believers reject any poll that doesn’t show their guy winning.¬†Even more, political analysis requires accepting and considering information that challenges you.

Approval Ratings 101

In Trumpers-Think-Political-Polls-Lie-Bob Davis Podcast 862 front and center are approval ratings and their ability to predict winners.

Past Elections

Moreover I’ll look at how you can use polls to make solid judgements. I’ll also talk about the history of past elections as a tool.

Polls Don’t Lie … The Media Lies

Not only do I reject the assertion the polls “lie”. When averaged they can be quite predictive.

Unfortunately the wholesale ignorance of polling in our media is especially relevant. For Example, while the polls in 2016 showed a close race for president, they never predicted a Clinton win.

Trump Struggles In The Battleground States

Finally at issue are tracking polls showing the president’s approval rating in battleground states plummeting. With manufacturing reportedly in recession in Wisconsin and Michigan, republican bosses are concerned. They should be. Trump has to win the battleground states to win a second term.

A Republican Siding With The UAW?

Perhaps it is for that reason that the president is rumored to want to intervene in a current GM strike, in favor of the UAW.

History And No Judgements

Therefore this podcast is valuable because it looks at chances for both a landslide as well as a tough race, without judgements and predictions. There’s a lot of information here about past presidential races, the history of polling and approval ratings. It might come in handy.

Sponsored by Reliafund Payment Processors and The Strategic Business Planners at Virtus Law

Trumpers-Think-Political-Polls-Lie-Bob Davis Podcast 862

Plan Beats No Plan-Bob Davis Podcast 828

Political Winners Need A Plan

The 2020 presidential campaign is already underway. Democrats are already touting their plans from free health care to free college. Thing is, a plan beats no plan when it comes to politics these days. We’ll talk about it in Plan Beats No Plan-Bob Davis Podcast 828.

Calling Someone A Socialist Is Not A Plan

Certainly this week attention has been focused on the president’s statements regarding unions. Meanwhile lesser known state and local ‘conservative’ republicans attack democrats for being ‘socialist’.

The US Is Already Socialist

Especially relevant is whether this approach will work.

Come to think of it, doesn’t the United States increasingly have a “controlled market economy” meaning the government already ‘controls the means of production’?

Trade Protection and Government Built Infrastructure – Capitalist right?

Moreover President Trump touts trade protection, and lately government appropriation of 5G wireless technology. It’s also a republican president pushing for ‘infrastructure’ development. Republicans even have their own ‘Single Payer‘ health plan where big insurance companies implement the federal program. This is capitalism? Learn more in Plan Beats No Plan-Bob Davis Podcast 828.

…People In Glass Houses

State republican representatives and senators who are real estate agents, housing developers, doctors and lawyers find themselves voting for ‘socialist’ ideas from MAO Clinic funding to laws regarding how you use your cell phone while driving.

Moreover from TR to Trump, republicans have been advocating for ‘progressive’ and socialist policies. Would you believe German Socialists actually supported Abraham Lincoln back in the day?

GOP Voters Hate Democratic Socialists But Don’t Take Their Social Security Away

In addition rank and file republican voters rely on government pensions, social security, ObamaCare, Medicare, Veterans Benefits and all kinds of tax breaks for their businesses. Good republican ‘capitalists’ take every legal tax benefit they can get from real estate to Tesla’s in the driveway. Rural farmers who voted for Trump love their subsidies. But socialism? God no!

Capitalism Is Radical

Seems to me that a real Capitalist Agenda would be seen as quite radical these days. Most Americans haven’t experienced true Capitalism. The means of production, from stock trades to light rail, have indeed been controlled by local, state and federal governments for a long time.

Where’s The Plan, Stan

Finally if republicans are against socialism they’d better get busy designing a capitalist plan.

Name Calling and MAGA

In conclusion, sadly a republican capitalist plan will never emerge. Much easier to call democrats socialists and shout ‘build the wall’.

That’s a plan, right?

Sponsored by John D Scott Personal Injury Attorney and Reliafund Payment Processors

Plan Beats No Plan-Bob Davis Podcast 828