Trumpers-Think-Political-Polls-Lie-Bob Davis Podcast 862

Republicans Hate Polls…Unless They Show Trump In The Lead

There’s so much bias these days on every media platform there’s no trust. A conversation with a republican friend lead to this podcast about whether polls lie. Find out more by listening to Trumpers-Think-Political-Polls-Lie-Bob Davis Podcast 862.

Who Did The Poll?

First of all when it comes to polling, the first question a republican will ask is, “Who did the poll”. Especially if it reflects poorly on the president. In addition their second favorite response is, “No One Called Me”. Gah!

What Poll Will You Accept?

In contrast I wonder, “What poll would you accept?“.

Polling Explained. Again.

It’s time again to explain polling and the potential for a republican win or loss in 2020.

No bias or predictions. Just the lay of the land.

Accept and Consider Information Challenging Your Position

Above all political true believers reject any poll that doesn’t show their guy winning. Even more, political analysis requires accepting and considering information that challenges you.

Approval Ratings 101

In Trumpers-Think-Political-Polls-Lie-Bob Davis Podcast 862 front and center are approval ratings and their ability to predict winners.

Past Elections

Moreover I’ll look at how you can use polls to make solid judgements. I’ll also talk about the history of past elections as a tool.

Polls Don’t Lie … The Media Lies

Not only do I reject the assertion the polls “lie”. When averaged they can be quite predictive.

Unfortunately the wholesale ignorance of polling in our media is especially relevant. For Example, while the polls in 2016 showed a close race for president, they never predicted a Clinton win.

Trump Struggles In The Battleground States

Finally at issue are tracking polls showing the president’s approval rating in battleground states plummeting. With manufacturing reportedly in recession in Wisconsin and Michigan, republican bosses are concerned. They should be. Trump has to win the battleground states to win a second term.

A Republican Siding With The UAW?

Perhaps it is for that reason that the president is rumored to want to intervene in a current GM strike, in favor of the UAW.

History And No Judgements

Therefore this podcast is valuable because it looks at chances for both a landslide as well as a tough race, without judgements and predictions. There’s a lot of information here about past presidential races, the history of polling and approval ratings. It might come in handy.

Sponsored by Reliafund Payment Processors and The Strategic Business Planners at Virtus Law

Trumpers-Think-Political-Polls-Lie-Bob Davis Podcast 862

Toss Up House Elections 2018-Part 4-Podcast 756

As I do the last two podcasts in the toss up series at the Bob Davis Podcasts, more predictions of a democrat wave are most notable. Are these predictions true? We’ll find out in Toss Up House Elections 2018-Part 4-Podcast 756.

Shellacking

In addition to commentators AP reported this week that republican pollsters are telling top republicans they’re in for a shellacking in November.

As a mission of the Bob Davis Podcasts I have been looking at those elections deemed ‘toss ups’ by the experts.

Conventional Wisdom Is Right Until Wrong

Especially relevant is the idea behind the mission. No predictions. Non partisan. What is the situation in these key districts in the final weeks of the election. Readers, subscribers and listeners might be surprised to learn very few public polls exist. Conventional wisdom drives most of these predictions. I detail this for each toss up in Toss Up House Elections 2018-Part 4-Podcast 756.

Close Elections Don’t Always Mean Flips

From North Carolina to Texas in Toss Up House Elections 2018-Part 4-Podcast 756. Toss up races are simply close elections for whatever reason. Moreover most US House elections are in solid democrat or republican districts. This year some say there are more than 40 districts that will be close. Why they’re close is key.

Open Seats And Changing Geography

In some cases the district is an open seat because of retirements. In other cases, the contours of the district’s geography have changed. What was once a solid republican or democrat district is now supposedly more ‘balanced’.

Everyone Hates Congress…

Finally the real question in the 2018 midterms is whether people will vote their opinions of the president or local concerns. The old saying goes, everyone hates congress but not their congressman.

One Size Fits All Election?

In conclusion I spent a fair amount of time not only looking through the data for these districts but also watching some of the internet and TV ads for candidates. Sometimes it’s hard to tell the republican from the democrat. This is not a one size fits all election even though the media would have its viewers believe it is.

Once I finish this series in this podcast, and the next, I’ll do one more podcast with my analysis since there isn’t much time for that in these podcasts dealing with individual districts.

Sponsored by John D Scott Personal Injury Lawyer and the Water Butler Water Purification Systems

Toss Up House Elections 2018-Part 4-Podcast 756

 

The Event Is Coming Soon-Supernatural-Major Change-Allison Coe-Podcast 706

People under hypnosis are accessing a higher ‘self’. They report something they call The Event. It is coming soon and will change everything. What is it? Find out in The Event Is Coming Soon-Supernatural-Major Change-Allison Coe-Podcast 706.

You Tube Says The Event Is Coming

I spend a lot of time on You Tube. Moreover I spend a lot of time in one ecosystem on You Tube. Videos about something called ‘The Event’. Search ‘The Event’ and you’ll find hundreds of videos. One of the You Tube Creators I like the most is Oregon Hypnotist Allison Coe. While I am a skeptic I think this is an interesting phenomenon.

Live From The Higher Self

Quantum Healing Hypnotists say they’re able to access a client’s ‘higher self’. When accessed, the higher self reports an unprecedented event, coming in the first quarter of 2018, that will change humanity and the earth.

Forever.

Just the Facts Please

In The Event Is Coming Soon-Supernatural-Major Change-Allison Coe-Podcast 706 I break down Allison Coe’s latest video. What are the discernible facts about hypnosis, quantum healing, and the higher self? What are the hypnotized actually seeing?

Get Ready The Event Will Knock You Down

What’s more the event these people see will be overwhelming. Everyone will see it. All of us on Earth will be impacted. It will appear as a curtain of rainbow smoke. When it’s over the sky will be lavender. Cool! Or a deception?

The Date Is Now

Especially relevant is the fact that Allison Coe has taken the risk of asking her clients under hypnosis to determine a date, or a range of dates for this event to occur.

Opposed By The Global Elite

Is it possible what the higher self is seeing is aspirational and not real? Does physics back up what some of the clients are saying? Is there a twenty six thousand year cycle? Moreover, are the Global Elite trying to prevent The Event from taking place? Whatever happens, this is fascinating and interesting content. Especially the 5D Earth.

Sponsored by Ryan Plumbing and Heating of Saint Paul

The Event Is Coming Soon-Supernatural-Major Change-Allison Coe-Podcast 706