Trumpers-Think-Political-Polls-Lie-Bob Davis Podcast 862

Republicans Hate Polls…Unless They Show Trump In The Lead

There’s so much bias these days on every media platform there’s no trust. A conversation with a republican friend lead to this podcast about whether polls lie. Find out more by listening to Trumpers-Think-Political-Polls-Lie-Bob Davis Podcast 862.

Who Did The Poll?

First of all when it comes to polling, the first question a republican will ask is, “Who did the poll”. Especially if it reflects poorly on the president. In addition their second favorite response is, “No One Called Me”. Gah!

What Poll Will You Accept?

In contrast I wonder, “What poll would you accept?“.

Polling Explained. Again.

It’s time again to explain polling and the potential for a republican win or loss in 2020.

No bias or predictions. Just the lay of the land.

Accept and Consider Information Challenging Your Position

Above all political true believers reject any poll that doesn’t show their guy winning. Even more, political analysis requires accepting and considering information that challenges you.

Approval Ratings 101

In Trumpers-Think-Political-Polls-Lie-Bob Davis Podcast 862 front and center are approval ratings and their ability to predict winners.

Past Elections

Moreover I’ll look at how you can use polls to make solid judgements. I’ll also talk about the history of past elections as a tool.

Polls Don’t Lie … The Media Lies

Not only do I reject the assertion the polls “lie”. When averaged they can be quite predictive.

Unfortunately the wholesale ignorance of polling in our media is especially relevant. For Example, while the polls in 2016 showed a close race for president, they never predicted a Clinton win.

Trump Struggles In The Battleground States

Finally at issue are tracking polls showing the president’s approval rating in battleground states plummeting. With manufacturing reportedly in recession in Wisconsin and Michigan, republican bosses are concerned. They should be. Trump has to win the battleground states to win a second term.

A Republican Siding With The UAW?

Perhaps it is for that reason that the president is rumored to want to intervene in a current GM strike, in favor of the UAW.

History And No Judgements

Therefore this podcast is valuable because it looks at chances for both a landslide as well as a tough race, without judgements and predictions. There’s a lot of information here about past presidential races, the history of polling and approval ratings. It might come in handy.

Sponsored by Reliafund Payment Processors and The Strategic Business Planners at Virtus Law

Trumpers-Think-Political-Polls-Lie-Bob Davis Podcast 862

Polar Vortex-Deep Freeze-Cabin Fever-Thoughts-Bob Davis Podcast 799

Colder this weekend in Minneapolis and Chicago than Antarctica. Colder even than high noon on Mars! Spending a lot of time inside pondering the end of the government shutdown in Polar Vortex-Deep Freeze-Cabin Fever-Thoughts-Bob Davis Podcast 799.

Breaking News! Winter Is Cold!

These days theories about why winter is cold abound. An arctic polar vortex that has split in two. An impending flip in the magnetic polls? Consequently we spend a lot of time talking about the weather.

Trump Yields To Pelosi

First of all this weekend will go down in history as the moment when President Trump yielded to a newly elected congress controlled by the democratic party. At least for the next three weeks.

Air Traffic Controllers

A snafu at some of the nation’s largest airports, caused by air traffic controllers calling in sick brought the president to his knees. Finally a deal was made to reopen the thirty percent of the government that was ‘shut down’ which did not include funding for a ‘wall’ on the US Southern Border. Find out what’s next in Polar Vortex-Deep Freeze-Cabin Fever-Thoughts-Bob Davis Podcast 799.

Too Cold To Care

But the cold is the most noteworthy topic. How do you adjust to the cold? When it comes to getting out of the cold where do you go? Can’t bother to spend a lot of travel money to go someplace that is 60 degrees. People from the upper midwest, used to sub zero temperatures, have to go to the equator to get the cold out of their bones!

Freewheeling Talker

Moreover this freewheeling talker includes a lot of opinions about people yelling and screaming. Social Media. Cable News Channels. My view is we’re not getting anywhere because people are watching and listening to media that confirms their own biases. So getting to the bottom of what the situation is, or isn’t, can be difficult.

IS The Economy Booming?

A good example are assertions that the economy is ‘booming’ or that US consumers are already benefiting from ‘tax cuts‘. I’ll tell you whether this is true in Polar Vortex-Deep Freeze-Cabin Fever-Thoughts-Bob Davis Podcast 799.

In conclusion I would much rather comment on the social implications and facts rather than join the crowd predicting the future and telling you what to think,

It’s Way too cold for that!

Sponsored by John D Scott Personal Injury Lawyer and Water Butler Water Purification Systems

Polar Vortex-Deep Freeze-Cabin Fever-Thoughts-Bob Davis Podcast 799