Art-Of-Politics-Polling-Prediction-Bob Davis Podcast 935

Updating Current Political Polls

Firstly Art-Of-Politics-Polling-Prediction-Bob Davis Podcast 935 is part of a series of podcasts updating current polls for 2020.

No Blanket Statements

Secondly I tend to avoid blanket statements when it comes to political polls.

Politics is An Art

Finally I believe despite all the technology we have politics is still an art.

No Silver Bullet For Predictions

Even more there is no application or spreadsheet that can ‘predict’ an outcome based on polls.

Probabilities

In short we can only look at probabilities.

Snapshots

Polls are snapshots in real time.

Shocking Confusion When It Comes To Polls

Meanwhile pundits and commentators continue to display a shocking confusion when it comes to understanding political polling.

Out and Out Bias

Most importantly some are ‘in the tank’ for one or the other candidate.

National Polls A Disservice To Supporters of Both Candidates

Consequently all of this political chatter and predictions does a disservice to supporters of all candidates.

Your Own Reality Check

On the other hand what if I can show you how to do your own reality check on your smart phone whenever you hear some wild prediction of a ‘landslide’ for either candidate.

That’s what Art-Of-Politics-Polling-Prediction-Bob Davis Podcast 935 is all about.

Still All About Showing Up

In conclusion if we have learned anything over the years, it is politics still belongs to those who show up.

State By State Battleground

Working hard down to the election is always the best approach. National polls are useless as the popular vote does not determine the presidency in the US.

Stay With The Bob Davis Podcasts

To sum up stay with me for a clear eyed view of the state by state polling results so that you’re not shocked and surprised on election night. Anything is possible, but right now it’s still a close race.

(Editor’s Note: As I recorded this podcast new polls were being released and results uploaded. As of the date of this post, the new polls have not changed my conclusion that 2020 will be close based on tight races in battleground states. I’ll do another podcast after the next spate of polls and we’ll see how things change. The good news is, if you listen to this podcast you’ll know how to update yourself when new polls come out.)

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Art-Of-Politics-Polling-Prediction-Bob Davis Podcast 935

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Rural-America-Urban-Covid-Refugees-Bob Davis Podcast 934

Covid Refugees Head Up North

For people in the upper Midwest summer means ‘Up North’. Especially relevant to Rural-America-Urban-Covid-Refugees-Bob Davis Podcast 934 even city people might find Up North a little crowded these days.

Not Just An Old Cabin In The Woods Anymore

Even more cabins in the woods these days are becoming sophisticated enough to qualify as second or even first homes.

Designated Meet Up When It All Goes Down

Firstly for most extended families ‘The Cabin’ or ‘Up North’ is the designated meet up if things go south.

Relatives Who Bugged Out

Therefore Father’s Day weekend seemed like a perfect time to get together with my son who bugged out from New York City.

Pandemic Panic Brought Them From Big Urban Centers

Secondly since then other family members from New York, Chicago and Los Angeles have jumped on the refugee bandwagon.

We’ve Been Here For Generations

On the other hand we have a lot of relatives who’ve lived ‘Up North’ for generations.

How Are The Rural People Getting Along With The Urban Denizens

Consequently I wondered how everyone is getting along.

Chicken, Steak and Conversation

Time to grill out and have some conversation.

Getting Along

You might think fur would fly between the locals and the refugees but it turned out great.

Millennial Approach To Collaboration

Moreover one of the things I was impressed with is how the millennial generation handles working together across cultural lines. We’ll talk about it as we get the ‘Up North Experience’ in Rural-America-Urban-Covid-Refugees-Bob Davis Podcast 934. This a standard topic on the podcasts these days.

Plenty Of Room For Everyone

Certainly there are funny stories and things to talk about. However as my nephew put it, there’s plenty of room here for everyone.

Not Done With ‘The Covid’, Though

Finally I think it’s fair to say we’re not done with Covid.

Second Wave?

For example spikes are reported already in areas that have opened up. Of course there’s also the official ‘second wave‘ predictions to think about. Not to mention unrest in the cities.

No Urban Or Rural Emphasis

In conclusion I am impressed with our ability to pivot to working from home and anywhere, and doing it successfully or even better. Maybe the future doesn’t have an urban or rural emphasis.

Sponsored by Auntie B’s Rentals and Realty One Group

Rural-America-Urban-Covid-Refugees-Bob Davis Podcast 934

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National-Delusion-Delirium-Pick-One-Bob Davis Podcast 933

Delusion Or Delirium. Pick One.

Certainly it feels like we’re living in a national delusion or we’re delirious. Pick One. Learn more in National-Delusion-Delirium-Pick-One-Bob Davis Podcast 933.

The Matrix?

Even more I might even forgive you for invoking The Matrix as a metaphor!

What Triggered This Podcast?

Firstly I don’t even remember the thought process that lead to this question.

Delusion and Delirium Defined

Secondly you can find the definitions for what Delusion is here, and for Delirium here.

A Confused and Disturbed Nation

Most importantly I think our country fits the bill for both right now.

Plenty Of Examples Worthy Of Your Attention

For example a pandemic triggered economic suicide worldwide, people climbing the walls in isolation, protests morphing into rioting and violence. In addition, ridiculous comments, outrageous explanations and mass confusion.

Our World Has Become Dali Work

Consequently I forgive the reader, listener and subscriber to bring up The Matrix. However I prefer Salvador Dali.

So, I’ll explain what I mean by a national delusion in National-Delusion-Delirium-Pick-One-Bob Davis Podcast 933.

Causes Of Our Acutely Disturbed Collective Mind

Moreover I’ll provide several examples of the potential cause of our acutely disturbed state of mind.

Social Media, Covid Psychosis, Propaganda and Conspiracy Theories

For instance, the peculiar Algorithms of social media. Or the real possibility Covid19 infections are less symptomatic and producing dangerous psychological reactions. And finally rapidly proliferating propaganda and conspiracy theories everywhere you look.

Our Worries

And If these aren’t enough to tip the scales, add to that our collective worry about our financial futures.

Don’t Look Now…

In conclusion a question and reference to the potential for a major financial meltdown.

Long Hot Summer

In short our ability to handle another major shock in this country is dependent on the clarity of our thinking. If we’re all delusional or delirious we’re in for a long hot summer.

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National-Delusion-Delirium-Pick-One-Bob Davis Podcast 933

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